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Euro: Recovery capped by French spread tensions against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight EUR/USD around 1.1212, noting the Euro (EUR) is underperforming peers as Eurozone bond-market tensions persist. The elevated French OAT/Bund spread reflects ongoing social and fiscal strains. While the German ZEW survey shows some improvement in current conditions, expectations softened, and the bank characterizes the Eurozone economy as remaining in a slow recovery phase, limiting Euro (EUR) upside.
Australian Dollar climbs above 0.7000 as US-Iran diplomatic hopes weigh on the US Dollar
AUD/USD advances on Tuesday, trading around 0.7010, up 0.43% on the day at the time of writing.
Brazilian Real: Run-off risks skewed to downside against US Dollar – ING
Chris Turner at ING notes USD/BRL has consolidated around 5.05 after gapping lower to 4.95 on Flavio Bolsonaro’s strong first-round showing. Polls for Sunday’s Lula–Bolsonaro run-off have tightened to roughly 50:50, with Lula’s gains linked to labour law changes.
United States Pending Home Sales (YoY) below expectations (0%) in September: Actual (-11.3%)
United States Pending Home Sales (YoY) below expectations (0%) in September: Actual (-11.3%)
United States Pending Home Sales (MoM) came in at -7.3% below forecasts (-0.5%) in September
United States Pending Home Sales (MoM) came in at -7.3% below forecasts (-0.5%) in September
Euro steadies as traders weigh France’s budget risks and Fed outlook
EUR/USD holds modest gains during American trading hours on Tuesday as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to gain traction following its recent pullback. However, sentiment toward the Euro (EUR) remains fragile amid France’s fiscal and political troubles, limiting the pair’s upside.
British Pound: Stronger labour data backs BoE hikes – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the Pound is strengthening, with EUR/GBP near its year-to-date low and GBP/USD above 1.3350, as stronger UK labour data show rising payrolled employment and private sector wage growth in line with Bank of England projections. He argues this supports expectations for BoE rate hikes and a lower EUR/GBP trading range between 0.8200 and 0.8400.
Euro: Two-phase weakness and recovery prospects against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen analyzes EUR/USD’s sharp decline since September, initially driven by broad US Dollar strength and later by Euro-specific concerns over France’s public finances.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in October 16: Actual (9%)
United States Redbook Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in October 16: Actual (9%)
Canadian Dollar: BoC rate hike bets seen as excessive - Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economist Dan Pan expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its policy rate at 2.25% through end-2026 and 2027, despite market pricing for a much steeper tightening cycle.
United States Building Permits (MoM) came in at 1.4M, above forecasts (1.39M) in September
United States Building Permits (MoM) came in at 1.4M, above forecasts (1.39M) in September
United States Housing Starts (MoM) came in at 1.221M below forecasts (1.3M) in September
United States Housing Starts (MoM) came in at 1.221M below forecasts (1.3M) in September
United States Housing Starts Change fell from previous -2.6% to -5.2% in September
United States Housing Starts Change fell from previous -2.6% to -5.2% in September