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Fed Holds in June, Dot Plot Signals Just One Cut for 2025
The Fed held rates steady as expected. The updated dot plot median signals only one 25 bp cut in 2025, down from three projected in March.
Gold Tops $3,150 as Geopolitical Premium Drives Record Run
Spot gold reached $3,150/oz, powered by multiple safe-haven demand drivers. The metal is up more than 18% year-to-date.
EUR/USD Slides to 1.02 as Parity Risk Returns to Headlines
Persistent eurozone data weakness dragged EUR/USD to 1.0210, bringing parity risk back into market discussions.
Brent Climbs to $88 as OPEC+ Compliance Reportedly Improves
Independent data showed OPEC+ major member compliance rising to 91%. Brent crude climbed to $88, a near two-month high.
USD/JPY Retests 155 as Japan Raises Intervention Alert to High
USD/JPY rose back to 155 and Japanese officials issued their strongest-worded warning yet, heightening market vigilance over official intervention.
Solar-Driven Demand Pushes Silver Above $31, Industrial Share Hits Record
Industrial silver demand hit a record high driven by solar and EV sectors. Spot silver broke above $31/oz.
UK CPI Beats, GBP/USD Rises to 1.29 as BoE Cut Bets Are Pushed Back
UK May CPI at 3.4% YoY topped estimates, pushing the expected first BoE rate cut back to November. GBP/USD rose to 1.2920.
PBOC Cuts RRR by 50 bps, Releasing About CNY 1.1 Trillion in Liquidity
China's central bank cut the reserve requirement ratio by 50 bps, releasing about CNY 1.1 trillion in long-term funds to support the real economy.
European Gas Refilling Lags, TTF Prices Hit €42 High
EU gas storage refilling is lagging the seasonal average. TTF natural gas futures hit an eight-month high at €42/MWh.
RBA's Hawkish Hold Sends AUD/USD Through 0.67
The RBA held at 4.35% with a hawkish tone, sending AUD/USD through 0.6700 to a three-month high.
WTI Falls Below $80 as IEA Trims Demand Growth Outlook
The IEA cut its 2025 oil demand growth forecast to 1.1 mb/d. WTI crude futures fell below $80/bbl.
Strong NFP Lifts DXY to 106.5, Broad Pressure on Non-Dollar Currencies
US May payrolls added 275,000, far beating estimates. DXY rose to 106.5 with the euro, yen and pound all weakening.
Global Gold ETF Net Inflows Hit Highest Since 2020 in Q1
World Gold Council data showed global gold ETF net inflows of 89 tonnes in Q1 — the largest since 2020 — giving gold bulls strong structural support.