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Forex Today: Focus remains on US data and geopolitics
The US Dollar (USD) has navigated an inconclusive range, struggling to reverse the weekly correction, while market participants continued to assess developments from the geopolitical landscape, all amid a steady pre-Fed lull.
United States 20-Year Bond Auction climbed from previous 5.42% to 5.46%
United States 20-Year Bond Auction climbed from previous 5.42% to 5.46%
Russia Producer Price Index (YoY) increased to 8.6% in September from previous 6.5%
Russia Producer Price Index (YoY) increased to 8.6% in September from previous 6.5%
Russia Producer Price Index (MoM) up to 2.5% in September from previous 0.9%
Russia Producer Price Index (MoM) up to 2.5% in September from previous 0.9%
Australian Dollar hits three-week high as hawkish RBA gives boost
AUD/USD extends its gains on Wednesday, rising 0.42% to trade around 0.7025 at the time of writing. The pair records its fourth consecutive day of gains, reaching a fresh three-week high after rebounding from its lowest level since early July, below 0.6900, last week.
British Pound stalls below 1.3400 despite hot UK CPI and BoE hike bets
The Pound Sterling (GBP) struggles to extend its gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, even as inflation in the United Kingdom cements the case for a Bank of England (BoE) rate hike at the next meeting and the Greenback recovers amid heightened geopolitical tensions.
United Kingdom: Inflation shaped by energy shock – ING
James Smith at ING highlights that UK inflation pressures remain concentrated in energy, with food and services inflation surprisingly subdued. Headline inflation printed 3.5% in September and is expected to peak near 4% in winter, but measures of energy-intensive and core services inflation show little sign of broadening second-round effects from the Iran War-related energy shock.
Colombia Trade Balance below forecasts ($0M) in August: Actual ($-2770.4M)
Colombia Trade Balance below forecasts ($0M) in August: Actual ($-2770.4M)
Poland: Fiscal change and bond positioning – BNY
Geoff Yu highlights that Polish bonds are under-owned compared with Hungarian paper, with holdings having halved as Eurozone steepening and fiscal risks weighed on performance.
United States: Pre-election tail risks – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team outlines US political tail risks ahead of the 3 November midterm elections. Early voting is underway in over 40 states and prediction markets still favor Democrats retaining control of both chambers.
United States EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change above expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (0.652M)
United States EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change above expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (0.652M)
United States EIA Gasoline Stocks Change below expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (-2.952M)
United States EIA Gasoline Stocks Change below expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (-2.952M)
United States EIA Distillate Stocks Change above expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (1.675M)
United States EIA Distillate Stocks Change above expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (1.675M)