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Canadian Dollar: CPI test for BoC inflation warning – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Canada’s August Consumer Price Index (CPI) will test the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) warning that upside inflation risks have increased. Headline CPI is expected to remain at 3.0% y/y, while core measures are seen hovering around 2%.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Falls to July 29 lows as bears retain control below 0.5800
The NZD/USD pair meets with fresh supply at the start of a new week and drops to its lowest level since July 29, around the 0.5780 region during the early European session. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside.
Breaking: Canada hedline CPI rose 3.0% YoY in August
Canada’s inflation held its pace in August, with the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 3.0% from a year earlier, matching market expectations and unchanged from the 3.0% increase recorded in July. On a monthly basis, prices declined by 0.1%.
Euro extends losses against British Pound amid high Oil prices and risk-off markets
The Euro (EUR) opened the week in the same weak tone it closed the last one, as the British Pound (GBP) got a boost from strong UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Industrial Production data.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Extends recovery above 20-day EMA
The US Dollar (USD) starts the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy week on a strong note, which is scheduled for Wednesday. In the European trading session, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.37% higher to near 99.46.
New Zealand Dollar declines as US Dollar gains on Fed rate hike bets
NZD/USD falls after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around 0.5780 during European hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains support amid aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike bets for Wednesday’s decision following hotter US inflation reports.
Japanese Yen: Bullish but momentum slowing against US Dollar – UOB
UOB strategist Quek Ser Leang reports USD/JPY dropped to 153.23 and closed at 153.54, with intraday bias tilted lower but expected to stay within 153.05–154.30.
Indonesian Rupiah slips due to stronger US Dollar, soaring oil prices
USD/IDR gains ground for the third successive day, trading around 17,700 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains support amid aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike bets for Wednesday’s decision following hotter US inflation reports.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Edges higher above 1.3850, but bearish bias persists
The USD/CAD pair posts modest gains around 1.3875 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) edges higher against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) amid rising expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike later on Wednesday.
British Pound: Growth distortions and rate risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister highlights unusually strong UK growth in the first quarter and weaker outcomes later in the year, driven largely by services. He argues this seasonal distortion complicates Bank of England policy signals, limiting conclusions from July’s robust data.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Likely trade sideways ahead of Fed-BoJ policy meetings
The Japanese Yen (JPY) reflects a mixed performance against its major currency peers, but is significantly down against the US Dollar (USD), in the European trading session on Monday. As of writing, USD/JPY is up 0.44% to near 154.20.
Equities: Resilience versus rates and Oil shock – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that equities advanced on Friday, leaving the broader market only about 1% lower for the week despite hotter US CPI, higher front-end yields and a sharp Oil rally. Cyclicals outperformed defensives and the VIX stayed below 16.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hovers above a key support in the $63.00 area
Silver (XAG/USD) shows minor losses at Monday’s early European session, amid a bearish near-term trend and with bears looking at a key support area around $63.00.