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Forecasting the upcoming week: US CPI and Warsh testimony to test the Dollar’s recovery
The upcoming week will bring a major test for the US Dollar (USD), with investors focusing on the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI), Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony and a broad set of activity indicators.
South Korean Won: Rate hike support from exports and inflation – DBS
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji expect the Bank of Korea (BoK) to raise its base rate to 2.75% from 2.50% in July, citing persistent CPI inflation above 3% and resilient growth.
Indonesian Rupiah: Weakness risks persist – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights the Indonesian rupiah’s continued vulnerability as USD/IDR moved back above 18,000 amid renewed Middle East tensions and elevated US yields.
Gold price slips as Trump says Iran ceasefire is over
Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats on Friday during the North American session, pressured by US President Donald Trump's comments allowing the resumption of US-Iran talks, but reiterating that the ceasefire is “over.” The XAU/USD pair trades at around $4,103, down 0.48%.
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €1.1K to €-16.2K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €1.1K to €-16.2K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions fell from previous $-37.6K to $-42.9K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions fell from previous $-37.6K to $-42.9K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $194.2K vs $194K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $194.2K vs $194K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions: 75.7K vs previous 110.5K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions: 75.7K vs previous 110.5K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-24.7K from previous $-17.7K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-24.7K from previous $-17.7K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions climbed from previous £-102.1K to £-87.9K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions climbed from previous £-102.1K to £-87.9K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions up to ¥-123.8K from previous ¥-155.1K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions up to ¥-123.8K from previous ¥-155.1K
Malaysian Ringgit: Range-bound outlook holds against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) kept the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 2.75% and expects it to stay on hold through 2026, with domestic fundamentals described as broadly supportive.
Chinese Yuan: Reflation gap weighs against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts highlight that China’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed to 1.0% year-on-year while Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 4.1%, widening the PPI-CPI gap and squeezing downstream margins.