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US Dollar: Inflation-driven rate risks and premium – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that stronger-than-expected core US inflation has pushed market pricing toward a near-certain Federal Reserve rate hike this week and higher odds of another move by year-end.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Clings to gains above 208.00; bearish bias intact ahead of BoE/BoJ
The GBP/JPY cross attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and maintains its bid tone around the 208.25-208.30 region through the first half of the European session.
ECB Simkus: Can't exclude action at any meeting
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and head of Lithuania's central bank, Gediminas Simkus, said during European trading hours on Monday that the possibility of monetary policy actions in every upcoming meeting cannot be excluded.
Indian Rupee: Reserve buffer and carry dynamics – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that India’s FX reserves surged by $44.9bn to a record $785.7bn in early September, largely due to Reserve Bank of India (RBI) mobilisation measures such as the FCNR(B) scheme.
Euro drops to monthly lows below 1.1550 amid high Oil pisces, Fed hiking bets
The Euro (EUR) accelerates its downtrend against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, weighed by risk-averse markets, with Oil prices above the $100 level and a stronger US Dollar, amid rising hopes of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike on Wednesday.
Australian Dollar underperforms amid risk-off mood
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is down against its major currency peers, trading 0.45% lower at around 0.7135 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.
Dow Jones futures dip as Fed hike bets, AI safety concerns weigh on markets
Dow Jones futures decline by 0.17% to trade near 52,500 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures fall by 0.64% to trade around 7,610, while Nasdaq 100 futures experienced a sharper drop of 1.46% to trade near 28,960.
US Dollar Index: Fed guidance key for next leg – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes that firmer United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and a near-90% chance of a September Fed hike have not translated into lasting Dollar strength, with US Dollar Index (DXY) stuck around 99.1.
Iran’s Foreign Ministry: Reports about nuclear activity in Iran are baseless
Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said during the European trading session on Monday that reports about nuclear activity in Iran's Pickaxe mountain (Kolang Kouh) are baseless. The spokesperson added, “Saudi Arabia insisted for meeting between Tehran and Gulf powers in Oman not to take place.”
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil prices
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Canadian Dollar: CPI test for BoC inflation warning – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Canada’s August Consumer Price Index (CPI) will test the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) warning that upside inflation risks have increased. Headline CPI is expected to remain at 3.0% y/y, while core measures are seen hovering around 2%.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Falls to July 29 lows as bears retain control below 0.5800
The NZD/USD pair meets with fresh supply at the start of a new week and drops to its lowest level since July 29, around the 0.5780 region during the early European session. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside.
Breaking: Canada hedline CPI rose 3.0% YoY in August
Canada’s inflation held its pace in August, with the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 3.0% from a year earlier, matching market expectations and unchanged from the 3.0% increase recorded in July. On a monthly basis, prices declined by 0.1%.