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Forex Today: Advanced PMIs in the limelight, but what about the UN General Assembly?
The US Dollar (USD) has extended its recovery on Tuesday, climbing to new multi-week highs on the back of steady bets for extra Fed tightening, while increasing hopes of a potential deal to unlock the US-Iran-Hormuz conflict seem to have been ignored by market participants.
Chinese Yuan: Gradual decline within tight bands – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/CNH to edge lower intraday but stay confined to a narrow 6.6890–6.6960 range, with a clear break below 6.6890 seen as unlikely. Over one to three weeks, they see downside extending toward 6.6820 as momentum builds.
WTI extends decline as Trump signals progress in talks with Iran
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil extends its decline on Tuesday as traders assess fresh Middle East developments, keeping energy prices under pressure for a fifth straight day. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $89.50, near a two-week low.
Trump signals diplomatic push on Ukraine and Iran as diesel ban looms
US President Donald Trump is figuring out a solution to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, after meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Furthermore, he added that Russian President Vladimir Putin is willing to meet to end the war.
South Korean Won: Export surge supports KRW recovery – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong report that the Korean Won (KRW) strengthened alongside gains in tech equities, lower Oil prices and strong export data, including a surge in semiconductor shipments.
US Dollar Index pushes higher on the case for another Fed increase
The Dollar Index trades near 100.70, its highest level since late July. It has climbed through five straight sessions of falling Crude Oil, the opposite of how the war has moved it for most of this year. The Fed is the reason.
Fed’s Barkin backs rate hike, stays unsure on more increases
Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin said on Tuesday that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to raise interest rates last Wednesday because inflation risks outweighed those to maximum employment.
British Pound sinks as USD shrugs off Hormuz reopening hopes
The Pound Sterling (GBP) dives over 0.17% against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday amid newswire reports that Tehran intends to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the United States meets certain conditions. At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades at 1.3343 after peaking at 1.3387.
Dow Jones Industrial Average drops from a weekly high as bank shares slide
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose on Tuesday to its highest level since September 14 before the opening bell, then turned lower once trading started in New York. It trades near 51,800, below Monday's close. The NASDAQ Composite tested record highs and the S&P 500 is barely changed.
Canadian Dollar dips as Oil slump, dovish BoC outlook underpin USD
USD/CAD gains 0.27% on Tuesday and trades around 1.4070 at the time of writing, supported by weakness in the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
Oil: Headlines drive vulnerability – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Ryan McKay and Bart Melek highlight that elevated speculative positioning leaves Crude Oil vulnerable to shifting headlines around Middle East supply routes.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Recovery stalls below key moving averages
USD/JPY trades flat on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) holds firm in thin holiday trading during Japan’s Silver Week. However, a broadly stronger US Dollar (USD) keeps the Yen’s gains in check. At the time of writing, USD/JPY trades around 157.46.
Bank of Canada: Slack delays hikes despite crude shock – NBC
National Bank of Canada's Ethan Currie notes that while oil-driven inflation risks have increased, the Bank of Canada is likely to remain on hold in October as domestic slack and trade uncertainty continue to weigh on the economic outlook.