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163.00: Why the Japanese Yen is trading at historic lows despite BoJ hike speculation
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to trade at historic lows, with USD/JPY pressing past year-to-date highs above the 163.00 handle, as a renewed surge in global Oil and Natural Gas prices has dealt a severe blow to the net-energy-importing Japanese economy.
Oil: Geopolitical shock tightens conditions – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu highlights that Brent has surged into the high $90s as Houthi attacks and U.S.-Iran escalation raise disruption risks around the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Bond markets are treating this as an inflation shock, with higher yields and tighter financial conditions.
Canadian Dollar eases despite stronger Retail Sales and rising Oil prices
USD/CAD rebounds on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) regains momentum amid rising tensions in the Middle East and growing Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets, while traders show a muted reaction to Canadian Retail Sales data.
Canada Employment Insurance Beneficiaries Change (MoM) rose from previous -0.5% to 0% in May
Canada Employment Insurance Beneficiaries Change (MoM) rose from previous -0.5% to 0% in May
Euro weakens as ECB stays on hold, while Iran war boosts US Dollar
EUR/USD trades around 1.1385 on Thursday after the European Central Bank (ECB) left its key interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations.
United States weekly Initial Jobless Claims decline to 187K vs. 212K expected
There were 187,000 Initial Jobless Claims in the week ending July 18, the US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday. This print followed the previous week's reading of 209,000 and came in much better than the market expectation of 212,000.
Canada Retail Sales (MoM) meets forecasts (1%) in May
Canada Retail Sales (MoM) meets forecasts (1%) in May
Australian Dollar: Limited upside as RBA priced – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights the strong year-to-date performance of the Australian Dollar (AUD), supported by the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish stance and Australia’s commodity-linked profile.
Japanese Yen: Gradual appreciation path after extended weakness – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that the Japanese Yen remains historically weak, with USD/JPY above 162 and EUR/JPY near 186, but still forecasts gradual appreciation over the coming quarters.
Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Euro: Recovery led by spot demand – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the Euro is stabilizing ahead of the ECB decision, with improving spot flow and hedge unwinding supporting Eurozone assets. However, forward and swaps demand remain weak, limiting conviction.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pulls back below $4,100 weighed by higher US yields
Gold (XAU/USD) trades lower on Thursday, snapping a four-day rally.

