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Australian Dollar: RBA tone may turn hawkish – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights a strong Australian labor market, with 76,000 jobs added and participation back near historic highs, prompting markets to raise the implied probability of an RBA hike to 30%.
US Secretary of State Rubio warns of intensifying military attacks on Iran
United States (US) Secretary of State Marco Rubio warns that military attacks on Iran could intensify further, as the nation is not ready to make a deal.
China FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) up to -5% in June from previous -8.6%
China FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) up to -5% in June from previous -8.6%
WTI extends rally towards $90 as Middle East energy supply risks intensify
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, extends its winning streak for the fifth trading day on Thursday, is up over 3% at around $88.60 during the European trading session.
British Pound: Sterling to hand back gains – ING
ING analysts Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole and James Smith argue Sterling’s summer strength is driven by positioning, carry and possible M&A flows rather than UK fundamentals.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Tests levels sub-0.5800 as bulls run out of steam
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) extends losses for the third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, with the NZD/USD pair dipping below 0.5800, after being rejected at the 0.5875 area earlier in the week.
South African Rand: Hawkish SARB could strengthen ZAR – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists expect a 25bp rate hike in South Africa after a sharp June inflation surprise, with Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 5.0% and core at 4.1%.
Forex Today: Focus shifts to ECB rate call, while tensions remain high in Middle East
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 23:
Australian Dollar remains steady following improved employment data
AUD/USD holds ground after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7000 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair remains steady as the Australian Dollar (AUD) moves little following the release of improved Australian employment data.
ECB Press Conference: Lagarde speaks on policy outlook after leaving key rates unchanged
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Brent: Energy risk premium rises – RaboResearch
Rabobank strategist Michael Every warns that escalating conflict around Hormuz and the Red Sea could push Brent above its current USD 95.5 level and widen crack spreads further.
Japanese Yen: Further losses toward 163.50 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note after USD/JPY hit a 40‑year high above 163, now expect intraday consolidation between 162.80 and 163.30 as recent price action offers few fresh clues.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Remains above 163.00 near fresh 40-year highs
USD/JPY inches higher after posting minor losses in the previous day, trading around 163.20 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency pair is holding a clear bullish bias as spot remains above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).