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Polish Zloty: Downtrend eyes 4.48 on firm support – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Central and Eastern European (CEE) strategy team expects the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep rates at 3.75% today, with Governor Glapiński likely to flag inflation risks and prepare markets for a November hike. They see a hawkish stance offering some Polish Zloty (PLN) support but still expect EUR/PLN to trade above 4.35 given geopolitical and external risks, after the pair extended gains toward 4.40/4.41 resistance.
United States MBA Mortgage Applications up to -4.2% in October 2 from previous -6%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications up to -4.2% in October 2 from previous -6%
Gold tests $4,100 as US Dollar and yields rise ahead of FOMC Minutes
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its decline on Wednesday, falling nearly 1.3% as the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields resume their advance following a modest pullback the previous day.
Swiss Franc retreats further, US Dollar firms up with Fed minutes in focus
The Swiss Franc (CHF) loses ground for the third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, retracing the rebound witnessed late last week.
ECB’s Pereira: No second-round inflation effects at present
European Central Bank (ECB) official and Governor of the Bank of Portugal Santos Pereira said during the European trading session has ruled out fears of second-round inflation effects. Pereira advised that France should pursue fiscal prudence.
Warning signal: Gold's failure at the 200-day moving average puts $3,940 in play
Gold (XAU/USD) finds itself pulled in two directions: official-sector demand continues to underpin prices even at elevated levels, while the technical picture has deteriorated after the metal failed to hold above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), leaving key supports exposed.
Japanese Yen: Downside risks build against US Dollar near 158.50 – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights growing downside risks for the Japanese Yen versus the US Dollar as USD/JPY tests its 200-day moving average near 158.50.
US Dollar: Near-term upside questioned – OCBC
OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue that the US Dollar's (USD) structural support from the US technology and AI sectors remains intact, but they are more cautious on further near-term USD gains.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retraces gains and nears two-month lows at $4,104
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and resumes its broader bearish trend, with the US Dollar (USD) appreciating across the board, as investors brace for the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.
Swedish Krona: Technical setup points to further weakness – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes USD/SEK broke out of a large base in September, extending its rebound and recently posting an interim high near 10.10 before a brief pullback.
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $60.21 per troy ounce, down 0.82% from the $60.71 it cost on Tuesday.
Australian Dollar: Neutral outlook inside tight range against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that AUD/USD extended its recent gains on Tuesday, helped by improved risk appetite, but they still characterise the near-term move as only a tentative recovery.
Euro: OAT repricing keeps downside bias against US Dollar – MUFG
Halpenny argues that last week’s sharp widening of the OAT/Bund spread to 150 bps looked overdone, with French bonds now retracing from oversold levels as global fixed income selling eases. He sees Marine Le Pen’s aggressive consolidation plan as unlikely to materially change OAT risk ahead of next year’s election. MUFG expects EUR/USD downside risks to prevail.