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Romanian Leu: Policy on hold as politics weigh – Societe Generale
Societe Generale expects no change from the NBR, keeping the policy rate at 6.50% as political deadlock in Bucharest and Romanian Leu weakness offset the sharp fall in inflation. The bank notes Headline CPI has dropped markedly on base effects. It highlights ongoing government formation uncertainty and warns that prolonged turmoil could jeopardize Romania’s Investment Grade rating.
Polish Zloty: Dovish hold with limited tightening – ING
ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak note that the National Bank of Poland kept its reference rate at 3.75% in October, as expected, with inflation driven mainly by fuel prices.
British Pound: Euro weakness drives Sterling gains - MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG highlights that the Pound has rallied sharply against the Euro as Euro-zone fiscal concerns intensify, driving EUR/GBP to fresh year-to-date lows.
Euro: ECB Account seen reinforcing hike case – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that EUR/USD trades heavy below 1.1200 ahead of the ECB Account release. Above-target Eurozone inflation and a firmer growth outlook give the ECB scope for further tightening, limiting divergence with the Fed.
Chile Core Consumer Price Index (Inflation) (MoM) dipped from previous 0.4% to 0.1% in September
Chile Core Consumer Price Index (Inflation) (MoM) dipped from previous 0.4% to 0.1% in September
South Africa Manufacturing Production Index (YoY) declined to -4.3% in August from previous 1.1%
South Africa Manufacturing Production Index (YoY) declined to -4.3% in August from previous 1.1%
Chile Consumer Price Index (Inflation) (MoM) came in at 0.4% below forecasts (0.5%) in September
Chile Consumer Price Index (Inflation) (MoM) came in at 0.4% below forecasts (0.5%) in September
Gold gains modestly as US Treasury yields ease, Fed hike risks linger
Gold (XAU/USD) holds modest gains on Thursday as a retreat in US Treasury yields tempers the US Dollar’s (USD) strength, helping the metal regain some ground. However, Gold lacks bullish conviction and remains in a bearish consolidation phase near two-month lows.
Swiss Franc retreats further as SNB vice chairman hints at lower-for-longer rates
The Swiss Franc (CHF) loses ground for the fourth consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as the Swiss National Bank vice chairman discarded any change to the bank's monetary policy despite growing risks from the War in Iran.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slides to fresh two-month low below $59 as US yields eye more gains
Silver price (XAG/USD) posts a fresh two-month low at around $58.50 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal faces intense selling pressure as United States (US) bond yields eye more upside on the back of recovery signs in oil prices.
China: PBoC rules out competitive Yuan devaluation to boost trade
The People's Bank of China (PBoC) said on Thursday that China has neither the need nor the intention to depreciate the Chinese Yuan (CNY) to gain a competitive advantage in international trade, according to a statement reported by Reuters.
Swiss Franc: Range trading holds for now against US Dollar – UOB
UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CHF price action has been quiet, with the pair expected to stay confined intraday between 0.8310 and 0.8345. Over a 1–3 week horizon, they reiterate that USD/CHF has likely entered a range-trading phase between 0.8245 and 0.8365. On a 1–3 month view, they see scope for further rebound but limited momentum to revisit the July peak.
Ireland HICP (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.2%) in September
Ireland HICP (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.2%) in September