ข่าวตลาด
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Canada: Gradual improvement expected – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan notes Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September, mainly in public sectors, reversing much of summer gains and leaving year-to-date employment at -41,000. She highlights volatility in monthly data and stresses the unemployment rate remains below last year. Fan expects earlier labour market progress to hold and the unemployment rate to edge lower through 2026.
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index increased to 47.3 in October from previous 46.3
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index increased to 47.3 in October from previous 46.3
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations increased to 4.7% in October from previous 4.6%
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations increased to 4.7% in October from previous 4.6%
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation up to 3.5% in October from previous 3.4%
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation up to 3.5% in October from previous 3.4%
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 46.3, below expectations (47.6) in October
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 46.3, below expectations (47.6) in October
Gold: Short covering signals renewed bullish momentum - TD Securities
TD Securities’ Ryan McKay and Bart Melek highlight that CTAs (Commodity Trading Advisors) are covering Gold shorts, with positioning rising by around 7% of maximum historical size. They note renewed inflows into Chinese Gold ETFs after the holiday and continued global ETF demand.
Indian Rupee: RBI seen keeping hike option open – DBS
DBS Group Research anticipates India’s September inflation to rise to 5.7% year-on-year from 4.8%, driven by broad-based food price gains and higher non-food fuel costs. Core inflation is expected to tick up as uneven monsoon conditions and elevated Oil prices add pressure, leading DBS to expect the RBI to keep the door open for a possible rate hike in December 2026.
European Central Bank: Conditional support and French risks – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Economist Maartje Wijffelaars describes widening French spreads and notes 38% of French high-grade corporate debt now yields less than government bonds. She argues most spread widening may be over as France is seen as too big to fail and ECB tools exist. She outlines ECB conditionality for TPI and stresses France’s need for a credible budget.
Canadian Dollar underperforms after Canada sheds 68.3K jobs in September
USD/CAD climbs on Friday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakens sharply following a disappointing domestic employment report. A firm US Dollar (USD) provides additional support to the pair. At the time of writing, USD/CAD trades around 1.4276, at levels last seen in April 2025.
United States: Core CPI trend seen moderating – TD Securities
TD Securities’ US economics team led by Oscar Munoz, with Eli Nir, Gennadiy Goldberg and Molly Brooks, expects September Core CPI to slow to 0.20% month-on-month, driven by softer core services and supercore.
Norwegian Krone: Rate hike risks support currency – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman notes that the Norwegian Krone (NOK) is softer against most peers following a modest pullback in Oil prices, but September CPI data keep further Norges Bank rate hikes in play, offering support to NOK. Sticky underlying inflation above the central bank’s forecasts means the option to raise rates further remains open, with markets pricing roughly 50% odds of another hike by year-end.
Canada Participation Rate declined to 64.8% in September from previous 65%
Canada Participation Rate declined to 64.8% in September from previous 65%
Canada Net Change in Employment came in at -68.3K, below expectations (7K) in September
Canada Net Change in Employment came in at -68.3K, below expectations (7K) in September