Notícias do mercado
Fique por dentro das principais notícias, dados e análises que movem o forex e os mercados financeiros globais.
Canadian Dollar climbs to two-week high despite hawkish Fed expectations
USD/CAD extends its decline on Friday as broad US Dollar (USD) weakness lifts the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to its highest level in more than two weeks. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.4138, after reaching 1.4299 on Wednesday, its highest level since April 2025.
Euro: Bullish reversal builds above support – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team notes EUR/USD is supported by modest narrowing in front-end Eurozone–US spreads following dovish-leaning comments from Fed Chair Warsh. French OAT/Bund spreads remain wide but are seen as a limited driver for the Euro.
Euro gains ground as AI jitters overshadow Fed rate hike bets
EUR/USD extends its recovery on Friday, trading around 1.1255 at the time of writing, up 0.32% on the day. The Euro (EUR) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD), rebounding from a 16-month low of 1.1113 reached on Wednesday.
Chinese Yuan: Recovery contrasts with domestic imbalances – Societe Generale
Societe Generale highlights that the Chinese Yuan (CNY) is trading at its strongest level since 2022, despite IMF estimates suggesting it remains significantly undervalued.
British Pound: Budget risks threaten gains against US Dollar - Nordea
Nordea strategists note EUR/GBP has traded between 0.84 and 0.87 since late February, with recent British Pound (GBP) gains helped by external factors. They highlights diminished carry appeal as the Bank of England (BoE) holds rates at 3.75%, resilient UK growth, and a crucial Autumn Budget Bill. A November hike may support GBP, but fiscal missteps could push yields higher and weaken the Pound.
Canadian Dollar: Bullish turn targets 1.40 against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Canadian Dollar (CAD) modestly stronger versus the US Dollar, helped by firmer Bank of Canada rate expectations and narrowing US–Canada yield spreads. Fair value for USD/CAD is estimated close to spot around 1.4140.
Canada: Oil windfall boosts income but widens regional divides - RBC
Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Nathan Janzen analyzes how higher Oil prices are boosting Canada’s real gross domestic income much faster than GDP, largely via export revenues.
Brazilian Real: Election-driven support with downside risks – Commerzbank
Norman Liebke at Commerzbank highlights that Brazil’s presidential run-off on 25 October between Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro is closely watched by markets. A Bolsonaro victory would likely bring more market-friendly, fiscally conservative policies and closer ties to the United States.
Indian Rupee: RBI defence limits losses against US Dollar - DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao reviews the Reserve Bank of India’s multi-layered strategy to support the Rupee in 2026.
United States Industrial Production (MoM) came in at 0.7%, above expectations (0.4%) in September
United States Industrial Production (MoM) came in at 0.7%, above expectations (0.4%) in September
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.9%, above forecasts (76.5%) in September
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.9%, above forecasts (76.5%) in September
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls test recovery momentum below key moving averages
GBP/JPY trades on the front foot on Friday, gaining around 0.50% as broad US Dollar (USD) weakness favours the higher-yielding British Pound (GBP) against the lower-yielding Japanese Yen (JPY), which underperforms all its major peers except the Greenback.
Norwegian Krone: Stronger NOK profile into 2027 – Nordea
Nordea strategists expect a stronger Norwegian Krone (NOK) against the Euro (EUR) over the coming quarters.