Notícias do mercado
Fique por dentro das principais notícias, dados e análises que movem o forex e os mercados financeiros globais.
British Pound: BoE tightening expectations questioned – BBH
Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman notes GBP/USD is weaker on broad Dollar strength, even as UK PMI beats and supports expectations for a 25 bps BOE hike to 4.00% in November. He argues the swaps market is overpricing future tightening, citing below-capacity growth, weak real wages, a near-neutral policy rate and likely fiscal restraint as headwinds for the Pound.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Dollar regains some momentum and approaches 0.8250
The US Dollar (USD) is trimming losses against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, as the risk-off mood, stemming from surging Oil prices, has offset the negative impact of falling US Treasury yields.
US Dollar: Safe-haven role questioned as AI story weighs – ING
ING strategist Francesco Pesole notes that recent equity sell-offs driven by higher Oil prices and AI concerns have pushed investors toward the Japanese Yen (JPY) and Swiss Franc (CHF), undermining the Dollar’s traditional safe-haven role.
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $726.03B to $721.02B in October 12
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $726.03B to $721.02B in October 12
Gold eyes weekly loss of over 3% as Fed interest rate decision looms
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts a recovery above the $4,000 mark on Friday after slipping to $3,986 during Asian trading hours, its lowest level since July. The rebound comes as dip buyers step in following Thursday’s sharp sell-off, when the metal lost 2.81%.
Brent: Geopolitical tensions push prices higher - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s FX Research team notes that Brent Oil rose 4% to USD113.17 as attacks on Saudi Arabian infrastructure raised fears of supply disruption. Additional reports of possible renewed US and Israeli strikes on Iran after US mid-term elections added to geopolitical uncertainty.
Australian Dollar: Consolidation limits gains against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank strategists (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD has entered a short-term consolidation after recent gains, with intraday trade expected between 0.6995 and 0.7030. Over 1–3 weeks they remain constructive but note slowing upward momentum and risk that a break below 0.6985 would put the 0.7070 target out of reach, while longer-term EMAs still warn of downside toward prior lows.
Australian Dollar edges up against US Dollar ahead of US flash PMI data
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades marginally higher at around 0.7018 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trade on Friday.
Russia Interest Rate Decision meets expectations (14%)
Russia Interest Rate Decision meets expectations (14%)
British Pound underperforms despite upbeat UK flash PMI report
The British Pound (GBP) is down against its major currency peers on Friday, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3380 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trade.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD picks up from the $4,000 area with bears still in control
Gold (XAU/USD) is practically flat on the daily chart, just below $4,030 on Friday after bouncing up from 3-month lows in the $4,000 area.
Japanese Yen: Strong CPI backs BoJ hikes as USD range set to hold - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH) strategist Elias Haddad describes the Japanese Yen (JPY) as leading gains and acting as an ultimate refuge currency, supported by hotter Consumer Price Index (CPI) and steady Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data that back additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) hikes. However, with inflation still below BoJ projections and limited near-term hike odds, he expects USD/JPY to hold in a defined range unless risk-off intensifies.
US S&P Global PMI expected to show moderating business activity in October
The United States (US) S&P Global preliminary Purchasing Managers Indices (PMIs) for October will be released on Friday, providing fresh insights into the health of the world's largest economy ahead of next week's Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting.