Notícias do mercado
Fique por dentro das principais notícias, dados e análises que movem o forex e os mercados financeiros globais.
Oil: Crude forecasts signal inflation surprises ahead - Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s analysts use their Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Diesel price forecasts to derive forward-looking inflation surprises for the US and Eurozone.
Canadian Dollar bounces up as US Dollar loses steam with services PMIs in focus
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) pares previous daily losses on Monday, as the US Dollar (USD) pulls back from multi-month highs against most peers, with market concerns about higher global debt yields keeping investors away from risk.
European Central Bank: Contagion risk reshapes rate expectations – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that unwanted tightening in Euro-zone financial conditions is prompting markets to pare back expectations for further ECB rate hikes.
Australian Dollar: Downside limited against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategist Quek Ser Leang reports AUD/USD closed at 0.6951 after a brief spike to 0.6976, with intraday price action expected to stay between 0.6930 and 0.6975.
British Pound recovers some losses against US Dollar, ISM Services PMI eyed
The British Pound (GBP) claws back some of its early losses against the US Dollar (USD), but is still 0.15% down to near 1.3220 during the European trading session on Monday. The GBP/USD pair recovers slightly as the US Dollar Index retreats after hitting a fresh annual high near 102.53.
Euro: Pressured yet systemic risk contained – DBS
DBS strategist Philip Wee explains that EUR/USD’s four-week decline reflects shifting risk balances, with renewed Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening overshadowing the European Central Bank (ECB) and France’s fiscal issues overshadowing US concerns.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD jumps to near $61.80 as hawkish Fed bets recede
Silver price (XAG/USD) is up 2.3% to near $61.80 during the European trading session on Monday. The white metal starts the week on a strong note as traders have scaled back Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate expectations after soft United States (US) official labor market data for September.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Holds below 0.8320 as the Swissie withstands bonds selloff
The Swiss Franc (CHF) has retraced previous losses on Monday and trades practically flat against the US Dollar (USD), hardly affected by the bond market turmoil that has crushed investors’ appètite for risk.
Gold trades flat as stronger US Dollar offsets easing Fed rate-hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) (XAU/USD) lacks clear directional momentum on Monday. A stronger US Dollar and elevated US Treasury yields cap the upside, while easing Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate hike bets cushion the downside. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,142, little changed on the day.
Why is the US Dollar rising despite October Fed hike odds fading?
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing fresh yearly highs near the 102.50 zone, powered by independent Euro (EUR) weakness and relative resilience in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate path.
Brazilian Real: Election surprise supports BRL against US Dollar – ING
ING’s Chris Turner says Brazilian assets are set to rally after Sunday’s presidential vote, where Flavio Bolsonaro secured 47% versus President Lula’s 45%. He expects markets to assume remaining votes lean Bolsonaro, sees currency and bonds benefiting from his fiscal austerity and deregulation agenda, and projects USD/BRL opening near 5.10, with a return to 4.90 seen as too aggressive.
US Dollar: Volatility-driven support into year-end – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) has started Q4 2026 on a firm footing, supported by resilient United States (US) growth and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) risks.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD languishes below $4,200 amid high US yields
Gold (XAU/USD) trims some losses on Monday but remains trapped within previous ranges, with upside attempts limited below $4,200 and with two-month lows of $4,110 at a short distance.