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Indonesian Rupiah: Oil and US inflation pose risks – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan warns that upcoming US inflation data could test the recent Rupiah recovery, as firmer US inflation may reinforce elevated US yields and challenge USD/IDR’s break below 17,700.
Pound Sterling's rate advantage buys it no say this week
GBP/USD holds just under 1.3550 after a Monday that covered 42 pips with American desks shut for Labor Day. The week that follows is not that.
Vietnam: Inflation and trade trends shape VND – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Vietnam update highlights rising inflation and a narrowing trade deficit, with strong manufacturing-led imports and resilient exports. The bank notes elevated CPI and external deficits limit scope for aggressive easing, but robust activity persists.
Mexican Peso stumbles as traders brace for US inflation week
The Mexican Peso (MXN) loses some ground versus its North American counterpart, the US Dollar (USD), as the USD/MXN pair rises over 0.25% to 16.93, even though the Greenback edges lower against a basket of six currencies, the so-called US Dollar Index (DXY).
Asia FX: Stronger Dollar and Oil weigh on CNY and peers – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that a stronger US Dollar (USD), higher Oil prices and rising global yields are pressuring Asian currencies and assets.
Gold bulls flinch as NFP puts Fed hawks back in the driver’s seat
Gold (XAU/USD) price dives over 0.40% on Monday following last Friday’s US jobs report, which ignited speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might resume its tightening cycle if inflation reaccelerates late this week, while the labor market remains solid.
Equities: AI-led upside and income focus – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels highlights that accelerating AI adoption, resilient growth and broadening earnings are supporting global equities into Q4 2026. The bank has recently added exposure to global stocks, favouring the US and Asia, while keeping sector diversification.
The world has enough Crude Oil and not enough diesel
Crude Oil trades just under $91.00 after adding 1.6% on Monday. The grind has run roughly $10 from the $81.00 area in nine sessions, and not a barrel has stopped being produced in any of them.
Germany: Cautious growth outlook – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Chief Economist Germany, Alexander Krüger, notes that German economic output is rising and the bank has raised its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecast for 2026 to 1.3% and for 2027 to 1.1%.
United States Dollar Index trades under pressure as Yen buying accelerates
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, extends its decline on Monday as a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) outweighs support from elevated geopolitical tensions and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike expectations.
Forex Today: Japanese GDP figures and China’s trade results in the limelight
The US Dollar (USD) has started the week on the back foot, rapidly leaving behind Friday’s uptick and refocusing on the downside.
A German landslide moved the Euro by nothing at all
EUR/USD holds above 1.1600, seven pips above where Monday opened. The pair has had three chances to move over four sessions and has taken none of them. Both central banks are priced to raise rates this month for the same energy shock, and a rate gap that is not moving does not move a currency.
United States: Sideways growth and oil shock risks – TD Securities
TD Securities expects US output growth to move sideways in 2026 as the prior Oil shock lingers and the Iran conflict poses stagflationary risks. GDP is forecast to end 2026 at 2.1% Q4/Q4, with unemployment around 4.2%. The bank assigns a 25% probability to a US recession over the next year.