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Japanese Yen: Policy-regime shift backs JPY against US Dollar – DBS
Philip Wee at DBS Group Research highlights a growing policy-regime change advantage for the Japanese Yen (JPY) versus the US Dollar (USD). Following joint US-Japan intervention and expectations of further Bank of Japan (BoJ) tightening, speculators have unwound short JPY positions.
British Pound: BoE hold, slower QT and dovish repricing risk – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Bank of England (BoE) to keep its policy rate at 3.75% with a likely 6–3 vote, as easing United Kingdom (UK) wage and services inflation allow a pause.
Japanese Yen trims gains with Fed and BoJ decisions looming
The Japanese Yen (JPY) holds moderate losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, but remains close to seven-month highs, following a 4% rally in the previous two weeks.
Indian Rupee likely extends previous week’s downfall on Tuesday
The Indian Rupee is expected to extend its previous week’s plunge against the US Dollar (USD) after a long weekend on Tuesday. Indian financial markets across equity, commodity and currency remains closed on Monday due to Ganesh Chaturthi celebrations.
Czech Koruna: Dovish CNB may weaken CZK against Euro - ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky outlines a busy Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) data calendar but stresses that the Czech National Bank (CNB) meeting is the key event. He expects rates to stay at 3.75% with dovish guidance, contrasting with still-hawkish market pricing.
Gold falls as Fed rate hike bets, rising Oil push Treasury yields to 5%
Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the back foot on Monday as Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike expectations dominate market sentiment ahead of the two-day monetary policy meeting starting on Tuesday.
Federal Reserve: Rate hike path and data support – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid and team say the Fed’s decision on Wednesday is the main market event, with their economists expecting a 25bp hike to 3.75%-4.00% and now forecasting 75bps of hikes over the next seven months.
US Dollar: Fed hike expectations and limited gains – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the US Dollar (USD) has strengthened only modestly even as markets price in a Fed rate hike at this week’s FOMC meeting.
ECB’s Schnabel: Recent energy-price developments have been quite concerning
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said recent energy-price developments have been "quite concerning" as officials consider further interest-rate increases after last week’s move, Bloomberg reported.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Aussie bears aim for a key support area around 0.7110
The Australian Dollar (AUD) resumed its downtrend against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, weighed by the risk-off market mood, as Oil prices consolidate above $100, and rising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will hike interest rates on Wednesday.
Brent jumps above $104 as fresh supply threats rattle Oil markets
Brent Oil gains on Monday and trades around $104.20 at the time of writing, up 2.49% on the day. Oil prices benefit from a renewed geopolitical risk premium as tensions in the Middle East revive concerns over potential disruptions to energy supplies.
Fed to raise interest rates to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16 – Reuters poll
According to a Reuters poll, the survey on September 9 showed that 86 of 101 economists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hike interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16. This is a dramatic shift from 65 of 93 economists expecting a hold in the previous poll.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: US Dollar gains momentum and targets 1.3940 area
US Dollar (USD) appreciates for the fourth consecutive day against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on Monday, as rising bets of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike on Wednesday offset the traditional positive impact of higher Oil prices on the Canadian Dollar.