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US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Waning hawkish Fed bets back more downside
The US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure as traders have repriced the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate hike expectations. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, holds onto Wednesday’s losses near 100.48.
Equities: Softer US inflation lifts stocks near records – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank notes that softer US producer inflation prompted a dovish Fed repricing, supporting the S&P 500 near record highs. Strong BlackRock earnings and an Apple-led mega-cap rally offset semiconductor weakness, while Asian markets declined as chip stocks extended their sell-off.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Trades around 0.7000 after pulling back from 50-day EMA
AUD/USD edges lower after two days of gains, trading around 0.7000 during the early European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the pair is moving upwards within the ascending channel pattern, suggesting an emerging bullish bias.
US Dollar: Disinflation meets Oil – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that softer United States (US) inflation data has reduced expectations of near-term Fed tightening, weighing on front-end US yields and the US Dollar (USD) while supporting risk-sensitive assets.
Canadian Dollar weakens as traders brace for US Retail Sales data
The USD/CAD pair recovers some lost ground to around 1.4045, snapping the seven-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious amid heightened tensions in the Middle East and ahead of the US June Retail Sales data later on Thursday.
Forex Today: Majors stabilize as USD selloff loses steam
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 16:
New Zealand Dollar holds gains around 0.5850, favoured by a softer US Dollar
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has retraced previous losses and extends gains for the third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The NZD/USD pair has reached the 0.5850 area, supported by a weakening Greenback, as markets dial down hopes of a Federal Reserve rate hike in July.
India: Semiconductor push and INR funding dynamics – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s economists highlight India’s new USD13.3bn India Semiconductor Mission 2.0, aimed at building a full-stack semiconductor ecosystem, though they judge near-term growth impact as limited.
Oil: Physical market tightens with Persian Gulf risks – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Oil prices have extended gains as US–Iran tensions escalate and tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain under pressure. Large second-quarter inventory drawdowns and the imminent end of global SPR releases leave the market more exposed.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD tumbles to near $57 as inflation projections remain de-anchored
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 1.33% lower to near $58.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal faces selling pressure as elevated energy prices due to renewed aggression between the United States (US) and Iran have de-anchored inflation expectations again.
British Pound remains muted as UK monthly GDP rises 0.1%, as expected
The British Pound (GBP) remains almost muted against its major currency peers after the release of the monthly United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for May.
Euro: Bullish bias builds above key support against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD has broken above prior resistance, with rapid gains seen up to 1.1482. Intraday, the pair is seen capable of testing 1.1490 while staying below significant resistance at 1.1520.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Dollar eases to 162.00, forming a triangle pattern
The US Dollar (USD) holds marginal losses against the Japanese Yen (JPY) at Thursday’s European session opening, and approaches the 162.00 area at the time of writing. Recent price action shows a sequence of lower highs and higher lows, forming a triangle pattern.