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Forex Today: Oil prices rise further, keeping markets on edge
Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 20:
US Dollar: Growth data guide Fed expectations – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that softer United States (US) inflation has eased pressure for a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) path, shifting focus to S&P Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for confirmation that growth remains resilient.
WTI Oil climbs to fresh one-month highs near $84.00 as Iran’s War escalates
Oil prices jumped on Monday as US and Iran hostilities escalated, threatening an all-out war, which keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed for sea traffic.
British Pound rebounds against Japanese Yen at the start of a UK data-packed week
The British Pound (GBP) snaps a two-day correction against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Monday, rebounding to near 218.60 during the European trading session. The cross faced selling pressure in the past two trading days after profit-booking near multi-year highs at 219.61.
Japanese Yen: Losses limited near 162.75 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights that USD/JPY retains an intraday upside bias, with resistance at 162.75 and major resistance at 163.00 unlikely to be threatened. Over 1–3 weeks, the pair is expected to stay within a 161.30–163.00 band.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Steadies above 100.50, with bullish bias intact above key support
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 100.75 in the early European trading hours on Monday.
Equities: AI and geopolitics pressure global stocks – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that rising Oil and gas prices, escalating US–Iran tensions and renewed doubts over the AI (Artificial intelligence) trade weighed on global equities.
Euro trims gains as the Pound strengthens ahead of Andy Burnham’s nomination
The Euro (EUR) ticks lower against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, trading at 0.8495 at the time of writing, as last week’s rebound from 13-month lows at 0.8455 failed to consolidate above 0.8500.
Oil: Disruptions lift prices and speculative longs – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent Oil has broken above US$90 as escalating conflict in the Persian Gulf and potential chokepoint closures disrupt vessel flows.
British Pound: Political stability supports Sterling for now – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the Pound initially strengthened as markets welcomed Andy Burnham’s rapid move into 10 Downing Street and hopes for reduced political turmoil.
Euro: Upside bias holds above key support against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang sees EUR/USD consolidating with a slight downside bias intraday, expecting moves within 1.1405–1.1450. Over 1–3 weeks, the Euro is still viewed with an upside bias as long as 1.1405 holds, though momentum toward 1.1520 remains uncertain.
British Pound steadily climbs to 1.3465 on softer USD as UK awaits new PM
The GBP/USD pair rebounds around 30 pips from the Asian session low on Monday, snapping a two-day losing streak amid a modest US Dollar (USD) downtick.
Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) fell from previous 2.2% to 1.8% in June
Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) fell from previous 2.2% to 1.8% in June