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US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Bears push against two-month lows at 99.40
The US Dollar Index (DXY) extends losses for the third consecutive day on Monday, with bears testing levels at two-month lows below 99.40 during the European session.
WTI advances above $82.00 as US-Iran deadlock supports prices
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil advances on Monday and trades around $82.10 at the time of writing, up 0.70% on the day. Oil prices remain supported by the deadlock between the United States (US) and Iran, which keeps concerns about Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz elevated.
Swedish Krona: Riksbank seen on cautious hawkish hold – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Riksbank to keep its policy rate at 1.75% for a seventh consecutive meeting while leaving the door open to a later hike as inflation runs above projections.
Dow Jones futures decline despite softening Fed rate hike expectations
Dow Jones futures decline by 0.12%, trading around 53,740 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain, hovering around 7,820, and Nasdaq 100 futures surge by 0.5%, trading near 30,290.
Turkish Lira: Market doubts disinflation and Lira stability – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye's (CBRT) survey shows market participants revising inflation forecasts higher and expecting only gradual rate cuts from current effective levels.
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $65.46 per troy ounce, up 1.17% from the $64.70 it cost on Friday.
Japanese Yen: BoJ hike expectations support JPY against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Lee Hardman report that Japanese government bond yields are rising despite weaker-than-expected GDP, as markets focus on prospects for further Bank of Japan rate hikes.
US Dollar: Losing momentum as fiscal risks rise – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that the US Dollar (USD) is losing momentum as markets reassess United States (US)-Japan intervention, shifting Bank of Japan (BoJ) and Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, and rising US fiscal risks.
Federal Reserve: Changing communications and higher volatility – TD Securities
TD Securities’ James Rossiter argues that the Federal Reserve is leading a structural shift away from detailed forward guidance and explicit reaction functions, forcing markets to infer policy from incoming data.
British Pound: Data-heavy week risks BoE repricing – ING
Chris Turner at ING notes that a busier United Kingdom (UK) data calendar, including jobs, wages and July Consumer Price Index (CPI), could challenge the 55bp of Bank of England (BoE) tightening still priced in.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Conquers 1.1600 as bulls retain control above 100-SMA, 50% Fibo.
The EUR/USD pair builds on last week's bounce from the vicinity of the 1.1500 psychological mark and gains strong follow-through positive traction on Monday.
Canadian Dollar: CPI and US tariffs weigh on outlook – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Canada’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) to keep core inflation below 2%, reinforcing an extended Bank of Canada (BoC) pause.
Polish Zloty: Slow NBP hawkish shift weighs on PLN - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports that Polish headline and core inflation have re-accelerated, with seasonally adjusted monthly rates now clearly above target. This makes earlier signals from National Bank of Poland (NBP) Governor Adam Glapinski about possible rate cuts obsolete.