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Dow Jones Industrial Average falls on a jobs number the president loves
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just short of 53,400, roughly 325 points or 0.6% lower on Friday, after August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) printed 162K against a 56K forecast at 12:30 GMT and pushed the probability of a September hike above 60%.
Silver claws back post-NFP losses after briefly crashing below $65
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $66.20 at the time of writing on Friday, down 1.18% on the day, after recovering part of its sharp post-Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) decline.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Euro forms potential higher low above 100-day SMA
EUR/USD sees sharp two-way price swings on Friday after a stronger-than-expected United States (US) employment report triggers fresh volatility. The pair initially fell to an intraday low of 1.1585 before recovering as the US Dollar (USD) struggled to sustain its gains.
Brent: Questionable flows, fragile outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Commodity Research team, led by Barbara Lambrecht, notes that uncertainty over crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz and conflicting transit data are clouding the outlook for Brent.
European Central Bank: Dovish hold may follow September hike - Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike its deposit rate by 25bp to 2.50% next week and then hold at that level for an extended period.
United States Dollar Index rises as strong NFP revives Fed hike bets
The United States Dollar Index (DXY) rises some 0.17% on Friday following a stellar Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, with the economy creating nearly three times as many jobs as expected by most economists, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Hungary: Inflation uptick complicates rate-cut path – ING
ING’s Peter Virovacz expects Hungarian industrial production to rebound in July, helping avoid a third-quarter GDP decline despite August headwinds from heatwave-related energy issues.
Swiss Franc loses ground upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls
USD/CHF trades higher on Friday as stronger-than-expected United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data trigger fresh volatility. The pair jumped to 0.8126 following the release before giving back part of its advance. At the time of writing, USD/CHF trades around 0.8102, up nearly 0.34% on the day.
Canada: Gradual improvement outlook on labour market – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan notes Canada’s labour market lost 42,000 jobs in August, partly reversing earlier gains and leaving modest year-to-date job growth. She emphasizes structural factors like demographics and weaker immigration as key drags.
United States: Solid jobs data support steady Fed – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Christoph Balz notes that the U.S. labor market surprised to the upside in August, with Nonfarm Payrolls and private sector jobs both rising strongly while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth continued to slow.
European Central Bank: September hike path and oil risks – Nomura
Nomura’s Global Markets Research team, led by Andrzej Szczepaniak, George Buckley and Josie Anderson, expects the ECB to raise the depo rate by 25bp to 2.50% at the 10 September meeting and then pause.
"Lower the rate or I’ll stop trading": Trump pressures Fed after strong US jobs report
In a post on Truth Social, United States (US) President Donald Trump welcomed the creation of 162K jobs in August, a figure he described as significantly above expectations.
Canadian Dollar: Jobs weakness caps gains against US Dollar - TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that Canada’s softer August labour report, including weaker employment momentum and slower wage growth, is unlikely to materially change the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) assessment of the labour market.