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Japanese Yen hits six-and-a-half-month high on hawkish BoJ bets
USD/JPY extends its steep decline on Monday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) rallies against the US Dollar (USD), supported by hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) expectations, capital repatriation and the unwinding of Yen-funded carry trades.
United States: Inflation risks but still contained - TD Securities
TD Securities projects August Core CPI at 0.19% m/m and 2.3% y/y, with services driving gains and core goods slightly negative. Headline CPI is seen at 0.37% m/m and 3.4% y/y on higher energy and food.
Canadian Dollar finds support from Oil surge despite Fed rate hike bets
USD/CAD trades around 1.3810 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.15% on the day. The pair comes under some pressure as the sharp rise in Oil prices supports the Canadian Dollar (CAD), although underlying strength in the US Dollar (USD) limits the downside.
Euro area: Inflation overshoot extends ECB hiking path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists Anatoli Annenkov, Michel Martinez and colleagues expect Euro area inflation to stay above target beyond 2027, with headline inflation projected to peak near 3.7-3.8% and core around 2.7-2.8%.
Asia FX: Oil shock keeps tone cautious – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong expects Asia ex-Japan (AxJ) currencies to start the week on a selectively cautious footing after renewed US–Iran tensions lifted Brent above US$96.
Euro benefits from weaker US Dollar as ECB decision looms
EUR/USD holds modest gains at the start of North American trading hours on Monday as a softer US Dollar (USD) and stronger-than-expected Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data support the Euro (EUR).
Euro: ECB tightening supports currency – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to deliver another 25 bps hike this week, taking the policy rate to 2.50%, supported by above-target Eurozone inflation and a firmer growth outlook.
US Dollar: Range-bound support as Fed priced – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that resilient global equities and an above-consensus US jobs report mean the Dollar should be stronger, but risk appetite is capping gains. He highlights upcoming US CPI and Treasury auctions as key catalysts.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Six-month lows at the 209.20 area under pressure
The British Pound (GBP) has resumed its bearish trend against a stronger Japanese Yen (JPY) on Monday, as comments from Japanese officials hinting at a steeper Bank of Japan (BoJ) monetary tightening cycle have provided a fresh boost to the Yen.
Canadian Dollar: Trade tensions and US CPI in focus – TD Securities
TD Securities notes that a data-light week in Canada will keep attention on CAN-US trade tensions as Canadian countertariffs take effect. The US has already signalled higher tariffs on Canadian vehicles from January 1.
Chile Trade Balance dipped from previous $1990M to $1688M in August
Chile Trade Balance dipped from previous $1990M to $1688M in August
Brent: Uptrend targets $102 before higher projections - Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts highlight that Brent has resumed a steady advance after defending its 200-DMA in August and crossing a multi-month descending trend line.
Gold bears retain control as Fed hike bets and Oil-driven inflation weigh
Gold (XAU/USD) trades with a modest downside bias during American trading hours on Monday. A softer US Dollar (USD) limits the decline and helps the metal recover part of its earlier losses.

