Fed: Balance sheet focus and rate-cut path – BNY

BNY’s Americas Macro Strategist John Velis discusses how Federal Reserve (Fed) balance sheet reduction is moving up the agenda, with officials like Kevin Warsh and Stephen Miran favoring a smaller footprint achieved mainly via lower reserves.

FED
AUD: RBA flags oil-driven inflation risks – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every notes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes stress that it is not possible to predict the cash rate path with confidence given Middle East conflict uncertainty.

Oil
JPY: BoJ hike risk rises with inflation – Danske Bank

Danske Bank analysts highlight that Japanese inflation is set to pick up on higher Oil prices and a weaker Japanese Yen (JPY), with markets already pricing a strong chance of an April Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike.

EUR: ECB still lags Fed on inflation response – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that, despite a sharper repricing of European Central Bank (ECB) tightening versus the Fed since the latest energy shock, the Euro (EUR) still lags the Dollar (USD) in terms of real policy support.

FED
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