GBP/USD Price Forecast: Dark-cloud cover looms as bears eye 1.3500

GBP/USD retreats by over 0.55% on Tuesday amid political turmoil in the UK, as pressure mounts on Prime Minister Keir Starmer to step aside following cabinet resignations. Technically, the formation of a ‘dark-cloud cover’ suggests further downside if sellers drive the pair below 1.3500.

Fed: Neutral stance as inflation stabilizes – TD Securities

TD Securities economists judge that April Consumer Price Index (CPI) strength was driven by shelter and energy, but see core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index running softer than CPI. They argue tariff pass-through is fading and supercore PCE should ease.

FED
Forex Today: Hot US CPI boosts US Dollar as Treasury yields climb

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied toward the 98.30 region on Tuesday as hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data boosted Treasury yields and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may keep interest rates elevated for longer.

Fed: AI-driven growth complicates rate path – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Senior Economist Jocelyn Paquet, argues that surging AI-related investment is keeping U.S. GDP growth above potential, with forecasts of 2.4% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.

FED
Copper: Prices hold near records despite Iran risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes Copper prices are trading close to January’s intraday record despite renewed Iran–US tensions and higher Oil prices. Markets currently anticipate limited economic fallout as long as a Hormuz reopening deal is reached, but prolonged disruption could hurt growth.

British Pound: Political risks weigh on GBP – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports that the Pound (GBP) has weakened as UK political uncertainty intensifies after poor local election results for the government. EUR/GBP has risen and cable has fallen, with Gilts selling off modestly.

Euro drops against Japanese Yen as Bessent’s FX remarks boost JPY

EUR/JPY falls by some 0.18% on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said excess volatility in the FX markets is undesirable. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 184.93 after peaking at around 185.46.

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