ECB: Divergent energy shock response scenarios – Nomura

Nomura analysts note that markets currently price around three rate hikes for the European Central Bank (ECB) by December 2026, implying a similar response to the Iran war energy shock as the Bank of England (BoE).

Germany: Recovery prospects delayed – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economist Marc Schattenberg notes that the ifo Business Climate Index deteriorated in March as German businesses turned more pessimistic on expectations, while their assessment of current conditions was unchanged.

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