NOK: Norges Bank seen on hold at 4.00% – TD Securities

TD Securities expects Norges Bank to keep its policy rate unchanged at 4.00%, noting stubbornly sticky inflation and risks of re-acceleration after the Middle East crisis and energy price shock.

AUD/USD: Inflation risks curb downside for Aussie – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that AUD/USD is trading near the lower end of its recent 0.6900–0.7200 range. February inflation was slightly softer than expected, but Haddad expects Australian price pressures to accelerate as higher energy costs feed through.

ECB: Hawkish shift with energy-driven inflation – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists revise their Eurozone outlook after the Iran-related energy shock, expecting weaker growth but notably higher inflation. They now see the European Central Bank (ECB) hiking twice in Q2, front‑loading tightening to prevent second‑round effects.

UK: Energy scenarios shape BoE outlook – ING

ING’s James Smith outlines scenarios for UK inflation, with current energy prices implying a brief 4% peak in autumn and ING’s base case of easing disruption pointing to a 3.5% peak in September.

Germany: War risks darken Ifo outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer warns that the sharp March drop in the German Ifo Business Climate Index reflects rising war-related risks rather than current damage.

Iran sees truce and talks as not viable in current conditions – Fars

Citing informed sources on the matter, Iran's Fars news agency reported on Wednesday that Tehran doesn't see truce and talks as viable in current conditions, despite the United States' increased efforts to establish a ceasefire and begin direct negotiations.