BNP Paribas underlines Türkiye’s acute sensitivity to higher energy prices and exchange rate moves. The report notes a large energy deficit, strong exchange rate pass‑through and a sharp rise in local yields, as markets price faster monetary tightening.
TD Securities strategists Prashant Newnaha and Alex Loo maintain a constructive stance on the Australian Dollar (AUD) despite the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) close 5-4 vote. A positive terms of trade shock and increased hedging by Australian pension funds underpin AUD outperformance in G10.
NZD/USD trades around 0.5860 on Tuesday, posting a slight daily decline after rebounding from intraday lows. The move remains limited but reflects cautious market sentiment as the US Dollar (USD) holds steady and multiple risk factors dominate the macro backdrop.
ING’s Commodities Strategist Ewa Manthey highlights that recent output cuts at Alba and Qatalum tighten the Aluminium supply outlook, with Gulf disruptions now affecting a notable share of regional production.
The NZD/USD pair is trading near the 0.5860 price region on Tuesday, erasing almost all its intraday losses as the Middle East war escalates, pressuring the US Dollar (USD).
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil trims part of earlier gains and edges lower on Tuesday as traders struggle to extend the rally at elevated levels while continuing to assess geopolitical developments surrounding the US-Iran war and ongoing supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.
Commerzbank’s Commodity Analyst Carsten Fritsch compares current Oil disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz blockade with the 1970s oil crises, highlighting record supply shortfalls and potential demand and supply adjustments over time.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/THB has risen over 4% month‑to‑date as markets scaled back expectations for near‑term Fed easing and Oil prices surged, hurting Thailand’s terms of trade.
Silver (XAG/USD) prices retreated nearly 2% on Tuesday, even as the Greenback remained softer and US Treasury yields fell. Higher Crude Oil prices pressure the white metal, which is down 1.81% in the week, while risk appetite improves.
The British Pound (GBP) trades broadly flat against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Tuesday as a thin economic calendar keeps price action subdued, with attention firmly shifting to the Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decisions due on Thursday.
The US Dollar (USD) lost its firmness and is now on a two-day losing spree. The Greenback initially fell because investors were cautious over the Middle East war and Wednesday's Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Gold price consolidates on Tuesday during the North American session around the $5,000 level, down 0.11% amid broad US Dollar weakness and falling US Treasury yields.
