UK: Energy shock weighs on outlook – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists describe a quiet week in the UK, with Gilt yields easing as markets trimmed Bank of England (BoE) hike expectations after Governor Bailey pushed back on tightening.

EUR/CAD rises to near 1.6100 due to hawkish ECB tone

EUR/CAD gains ground as the Euro (EUR) receives support from the hawkish tone of the European Central Bank (ECB). The currency cross is trading around 1.6100 during the European hours on Tuesday.

NZD/USD: Tactical support eyed near 0.5630 – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to keep policy on hold at its April 8 meeting, looking through energy-driven inflation. He notes Governor Anna Breman’s conditional hawkishness if inflation expectations de-anchor.

ECB: Focus on expectations as Oil shock bites – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer argues that the European Central Bank should respond to the recent Oil price shock by prioritizing long-term inflation expectations. He notes that higher energy costs are both lifting inflation and weighing on growth, creating a policy dilemma.

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US: Fed data watch shapes rate outlook – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights a busy US data calendar for the Dollar, with February PCE, March CPI and the University of Michigan survey guiding inflation expectations.

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