Aluminium: Gulf outages tighten global balance – ING

ING analysts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson report that Aluminium supply risks have intensified after Iranian attacks on Emirates Global Aluminium’s Al Taweelah smelter and Aluminium Bahrain’s plant.

AUD: Energy shock threatens fragile consumption – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts highlight a record monthly rise in the Melbourne Institute Inflation Gauge, pushing headline and trimmed mean inflation to their highest non-COVID levels since 2008. At the same time, Australian household spending growth is modest and momentum is slowing.

DXY: Energy shock keeps Dollar bid – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that a prolonged energy shock from the Iran conflict heightens financial stability risks and supports the Dollar beyond what rate differentials imply.