US equities: Outlook-driven earnings season – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage argues that Q1 US equities will be driven more by forward guidance than reported earnings, with consensus S&P 500 earnings growth around 13% and wide dispersion in forecasts.

AUD/JPY remains subdued near 112.50 due to risk-off mood

AUD/JPY edges lower after four days of gains, trading around 112.50 during the European hours on Friday. The currency cross remains subdued as the Australian Dollar (AUD) holds losses following the release of Chinese Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March.

GBP/USD: Upside risk hinges on 1.3480 close – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) economists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight a still-positive short-term outlook for GBP/USD after recent gains above 1.3450. They see scope for the Pound (GBP) to advance toward 1.3520, but stress that a daily close above 1.3480 is required.

CAD: Jobs data and BoC stance guide Loonie – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole points to Canada’s March labour report as key for Bank of Canada (BoC) expectations, stressing that the unemployment rate matters more than volatile monthly payrolls.

DXY: Limited haven response to Oil shock – DBS

Philip Wee at DBS Group Research highlights that despite Brent crude trading in a USD 100–120 range in Q1 2026, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has stayed within its established 96–101 band.

Oil