AUD/USD: Overdone rally still has room to test 0.7135 – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) economists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD broke above the prior range, reaching near 0.7100. Despite labeling the recent surge as overdone, they still see room for a push toward 0.7135, with 0.7000 now the key strong support.

US: War burden and spending power – UBS

UBS economist Paul Donovan discusses how US March consumer price inflation highlights US consumers’ war-related burden and affordability concerns.

BRL: Hawkish tilt and supported real – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts Michael Pfister and Norman Liebke highlight that Brazil’s inflation edged higher in February, and they expect today’s March data to show another fairly sharp rise in prices.

USD: Inflation and peace risks shape Dollar – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the US Dollar Index remains just below 99.0, with further downside seen if a permanent Middle East peace deal is agreed and Strait of Hormuz flows resume.

WTI Crude Oil nears $93.00, with the Strait of Hormuz practically closed

Oil prices are ticking up for the second consecutive day on Friday. The US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil has returned to levels near $93.00 per barrel, as restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz keep a de facto blockade in place, adding strain to an already frail ceasefire deal in Iran.

Oil
IDF remains in state of war with Lebanon

According to a report from the Guardian, Israel Defense Forces (IDF) chief of staff, Eyal Zamir, said that forces are continuing their combat operations in southern Lebanon and are “not in a ceasefire” with Hezbollah.