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Bank of Korea: Policy patience case – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park expects the Bank of Korea to keep its base rate at 3.00% through October and November, despite a less favourable inflation-growth mix.
Bank of Canada: Inflation-growth tradeoff keeps policy on hold – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada economists Claire Fan and Abbey Xu assess upcoming Canadian inflation data and the Bank of Canada’s Q3 Business Outlook Survey ahead of the Oct. 28 policy decision.
Fed: Higher yields keep tightening path intact – Nordea
Nordea’s research team keeps its Federal Reserve outlook unchanged, expecting one more rate hike this year and another in 2027 as US inflation remains above the 2% target and growth stays strong.
British Pound: Weekly outside reversal eyes 1.3650 against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank analysts highlight that Bank of England Governor Bailey sees little evidence of second-round inflation effects and a more resilient UK economy, with markets still pricing a 25bp hike next month.
Canadian Dollar: Inflation risks and BoC stance – TD Securities
TD Securities’ economist Robert Both expects Canadian CPI to rise to 3.2% year-on-year in September, driven mainly by higher Energy and Gasoline prices, while core measures such as CPI-trim and median remain near 1.9%. The subdued core profile should limit Bank of Canada reaction, even as new inflation forecasts in the October MPR are upgraded for headline CPI.
Mexican Peso sinks as US-Mexico trade talks stall
The Mexican Peso (MXN) losses ground against the Greenback on Friday amid broader US Dollar (USD) weakness, as Mexico’s economic docket is absent, leaving traders leaning into US dynamics. At the time of writing, USD/MXN trades at 18.49, up 0.47%, on track for the sixth consecutive weekly gain.
Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM) up to 0.4% in September from previous -0.1%
Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM) up to 0.4% in September from previous -0.1%
British Pound breaks 1.3350 as Warsh stays vague, BoE hike bets build
The Pound Sterling (GBP) advances against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh didn’t provide forward guidance on interest rates, while expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) would hike rates in November supported GBP/USD, pushing it above 1.3350 and regis
Swedish Krona: Forecasts turned cautious – Nordea
Nordea strategists concede their long‑standing positive view on the Swedish Krona (SEK) has not materialized and now adopt an agnostic stance. SEK has been hurt by Middle East‑related risk‑off flows, US tech outperformance, Riksbank policy lagging the ECB, and the "Scandie trade" favouring NOK. They say SEK strength requires lower Oil prices, easing inflation and lower global short rates.
Colombia Industrial output (YoY) registered at -3.7%, below expectations (-2.1%) in August
Colombia Industrial output (YoY) registered at -3.7%, below expectations (-2.1%) in August
Colombia Retail Sales (YoY) registered at 7.3%, below expectations (8.5%) in August
Colombia Retail Sales (YoY) registered at 7.3%, below expectations (8.5%) in August
Euro: Bullish reversal builds above support – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team notes EUR/USD is supported by modest narrowing in front-end Eurozone–US spreads following dovish-leaning comments from Fed Chair Warsh. French OAT/Bund spreads remain wide but are seen as a limited driver for the Euro.
Euro gains ground as AI jitters overshadow Fed rate hike bets
EUR/USD extends its recovery on Friday, trading around 1.1255 at the time of writing, up 0.32% on the day. The Euro (EUR) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD), rebounding from a 16-month low of 1.1113 reached on Wednesday.