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CEE FX: Hungary budget and Turkey cuts – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights Hungary’s draft budget as key for regional bonds, with much optimism already priced on a deficit below 5% of GDP. He expects the National Bank of Hungary to keep rates at 5.50%, the Central Bank of Turkey to resume cuts to 36.00%, and EUR/RON to stabilise around 5.340, while another Czech rate hike is seen in November.
Equities: AI fears revive Black Monday jitters - Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight renewed volatility in US equities as the anniversary of Black Monday coincides with a sharp late-Friday sell-off in the S&P 500, followed by a rebound in S&P and Nasdaq futures.
Japanese Yen holds steady near 158.00 as BoJ's Ueda says underlying inflation close to target
The USD/JPY pair trades on a flat note around 158.00 during the early European session on Monday. Traders scale back Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets despite hot US inflation data. The Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data will take center stage later on Friday.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Kiwi holds gains with bulls aiming for the 0.5690 area
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) stands its ground against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week, as positive data from China offset the downbeat New Zealand Trade Balance earlier in the day.
Euro remains under selling pressure against British Pound on France's political turmoil
The EUR/GBP cross declines to around 0.8420 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Violent protests in France put pressure on the Euro (EUR) against the British Pound (GBP). European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Frank Elderson is set to speak later in the day.
British Pound reflects mixed performance at the start of UK data-packed week
The British Pound (GBP) trades mixed against its currency peers at the start of the United Kingdom (UK) data-packed week. Against the Japanese Yen (JPY), the British currency is almost flat at around 210.74.
Swiss Franc gains as Fed rate pause bets weigh on US Dollar
USD/CHF depreciates after opening at a bullish gap, remaining in positive territory and trading around 0.8240 during Asian hours on Monday. The currency pair lost ground as the US Dollar (USD) came under pressure from declining expectations of an October interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Euro: Range trading bias around recent rebound against US Dollar– UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD extended gains to 1.1269 before easing, with current price action seen as part of a consolidation. Intraday, the Euro (EUR) is expected to hold between 1.1180 and 1.1245. On a 1–3 week horizon, the bank has shifted to a neutral stance, looking for range trading between 1.1160 and 1.1280 after the recent rebound.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Hangs near multi-week low, holds above 1.4100 ahead of Canadian CPI
The USD/CAD pair remains under some selling pressure for the third straight day on Monday, prolonging last week's rejection slide from the 1.4300 mark, or its highest level since April 2025.
Indonesian Rupiah gains as Fed pause odds hit US Dollar
USD/IDR inches lower after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around 18,080 during Asian hours on Monday. Indonesian market participants are assessing the situation after Bloomberg reported that local officials plan to meet with MSCI Inc. executives on Monday.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Steadies below 1.3350, remains capped below 100-day SMA
The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3330 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Traders continue to assess the US interest rate path after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks. All eyes will be on the UK jobs data on Tuesday.
Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at -0.1%, above expectations (-0.4%) in August
Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at -0.1%, above expectations (-0.4%) in August
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Weakens below 1.1250, bearish tone prevails below 100-day SMA
The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1230 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Fiscal risks in France and political instability in Europe exert some selling pressure on the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar (USD).