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Fed’s Cook: AI, Iran risks could keep inflation pressures high
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook said in a speech in Oakland, California, that the number and magnitude of future adjustments to the Fed funds rate will depend on inflation and labor market data.
British Pound defies US yields surge as BoE hike bets build
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers modest gains of 0.18% on Monday even as US Treasury yields soar, with the US 10-year T-note rising over 10 basis points, underpinning the Greenback. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3252.
GBP: Shorts at highs as Pound tracks Oil-led USD rally – Rabobank
Rabobank highlights that GBP net short positions have risen over 40%, reaching their highest level since August. The Bank of England kept the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% on September 18, in line with expectations.
Euro struggles as Fed rate-hike bets overshadow ECB tightening expectations
EUR/USD trades on the back foot on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar (USD) as the US-Iran stalemate keeps Oil prices elevated, pushing US Treasury yields higher and strengthening expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.
AUD: Speculative shorts rise as gains versus Dollar fade – Rabobank
Rabobank points out that AUD net short positions have increased for a second week, reaching their highest level since December 2025.
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to 9.8 in September from previous 11.6
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to 9.8 in September from previous 11.6
USD/CAD: Overbought but seen sideways into year end – Rabobank
Rabobank’s FX Strategy team observes that CAD net shorts have risen again after a recent collapse. USD/CAD has continued to grind higher, gaining 2.77% from recent lows to 1.414, with the 14‑day RSI indicating overbought conditions.
British Pound gains against the Euro as traders assess central bank signals
EUR/GBP edges lower on Monday as the British Pound (GBP) attracts buyers after recent weakness, with hawkish remarks from Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden lending it further support. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8564, down 0.40%.
Lagarde: ECB sticks to “middle path” as inflation outlook worsens
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said on Monday the bloc's economy continued to expand broadly across countries and sectors, with manufacturing and the labour market holding up well.
Bonds: Yields challenge equity valuations – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that rising global bond yields, driven by a rebound in Oil prices and uncertainty around US-Iran talks, are making Treasuries more attractive than equities.
Australian Dollar holds steady as RBA rate hike expectations balance elevated US yields
AUD/USD trades around 0.7020 on Monday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day.
Canadian Dollar struggles as US-Canada yield gap widens
USD/CAD extends its rally on Monday as diverging monetary policy outlooks between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) keep the US Dollar (USD) favoured, outweighing support for the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) from higher Oil prices.
US-Iran indirect talks to resume in US as mediators revisit seven-day proposal - Reuters
The United States (US) and Iran are expected to resume indirect talks as early as Monday or Tuesday, according to an official briefed on the negotiations cited by Reuters.