Notícias do mercado
Fique por dentro das principais notícias, dados e análises que movem o forex e os mercados financeiros globais.
British Pound: BoE pause risks dovish repricing – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the Bank of England (BoE) to leave rates unchanged this week, with a 7–2 vote remaining the base case, although Catherine Mann could join Huw Pill and Megan Greene in supporting a rate hike.
Euro: Growth and policy doubts point lower against US Dollar – HSBC
HSBC strategists see EUR/USD at risk of moving lower as the European Central Bank (ECB) maintains a cautious, data-dependent stance and refrains from signalling further rate hikes.
Swedish Krona: Moderately firmer tone into year-end – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that benign Consumer Price Index (CPI) and CPIF inflation leave Sweden and the Riksbank better positioned than many G10 peers to delay rate hikes despite supply disruptions from the Iran war.
Japan PM Takaichi: We must exit from excessively tight fiscal policy
Japan Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi said during the European trading session on Monday that the economy needs to exit from fiscal tightness.
Australian Dollar advances to 0.7000 as Middle East de-escalation weighs on the USD
AUD/USD trades around 0.7000 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.33% on the day, supported by a weaker US Dollar (USD) as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East show signs of easing.
Japanese Yen: Macro backdrop favors recovery against US Dollar - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad anticipates the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will leave its policy rate at 1.00% after June’s hike, with inflation still below target and markets pricing only gradual tightening.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Eases to 163.50 with the broader bullish trend intact
The Japanese Yen (JPY) pares recent losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, favoured by a relief rally, as the US and Iran halted their hostilities, opening the door for further negotiations.
British Pound: Fiscal risks cap upside against US Dollar – BNY
Geoff Yu at BNY argues that the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to keep policy unchanged despite energy-driven price pressures, as markets have already tightened financial conditions.
Japanese Yen: BoJ guidance and Fed surprise risk steer the yen – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that lower energy prices have eased pressure on Japanese policymakers and slowed USD/JPY’s climb below 164.00. Markets expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to keep rates unchanged but are focused on any hawkish signals on future hikes.
Australian Dollar: Extended RBA pause may weigh on AUD – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad sees above-target Australian inflation keeping Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hike risks alive, with June and Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) expected to show firm trimmed mean readings.
Iran’s Baghaei: Iran has not asked for resumption of talks with the US
Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said during the European trading session on Monday that mediation efforts by Gulf countries towards the United States (US)-Iran diplomatic solution remain active, but Tehran is not having direct talks with Washington.
ECB’s Kazimir: One more interest rate hike is needed
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS), Peter Kazimir, seems to be leaning towards a hawkish monetary policy outlook.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: VCP breakout likely after Fed-BoE policy announcements
The British Pound (GBP) is up 0.15% to near 1.3345 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.