Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
United States Dollar Index holds in range amid ongoing hopes of a negotiated end to the war
The US Dollar Index (DXY) pulls back to levels a few pips shy of 101.00 during Wednesday’s European session, after being rejected at the 101.20 area earlier in the day, and has turned negative on daily charts.
Oil: Geopolitical risk lifts prices – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has jumped above $76/bbl as renewed tensions in the Persian Gulf and US strikes on Iran revive supply concerns.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ hike seen as moderate tightening – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny reports that the New Zealand Dollar strengthened after the RBNZ raised its policy rate by 25 bps to 2.50%, the first increase since May 2023. He notes OIS had largely priced the move and more hikes, but MUFG expects only two additional increases by March 2027.
US Dollar: Exposure stays elevated – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that cross-border investors’ Dollar holdings remain close to multi-year highs, driven by strong United States (US) asset exposure with fewer FX hedges.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Weakens below 1.4200 as Oil gains, but technicals still favor upside
The USD/CAD pair loses traction to near 1.4175 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Renewed US military strikes against Iran have boosted crude oil prices and provide some support to the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD).
Czech Koruna: CNB hawkish bias supports CZK – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes Czech headline inflation fell to 1.5% year-on-year, below Czech National Bank (CNB) forecasts, with goods and energy prices soft but services still elevated.
Austria Trade Balance up to €-434.1M in April from previous €-563.3M
Austria Trade Balance up to €-434.1M in April from previous €-563.3M
Euro rises against Japanese Yen as latter underperforms across the board
The Euro (EUR) trades 0.1% higher to near 185.20 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Wednesday.
British Pound: Momentum fades against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports that GBP/USD failed to sustain its recent strong run, pulling back after testing resistance near 1.3410.
Oil: Gradual downside with security premium – OCBC
OCBC Bank’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Oil and tech-led equity weakness have driven a stronger US Dollar, higher global yields and softer Gold.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Dollar remains capped below 162.40 resistance area
The US Dollar (USD) appreciates against the Japanese Yen (JPY) for the fourth consecutive day on Wednesday, fuelled by the resumption of hostilities in the Middle East and dovish comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials.
Gold: Central bank demand underpins prices – ING
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report that Gold has edged lower after an early advance as traders await the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, but the metal trades in line with evolving US rate expectations and remains supported above $4,000/oz.
Equities: Mixed reaction to US-Iran tensions – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid highlights that Asian equities are mostly lower as investors digest a sharp escalation in US-Iran tensions and surging Oil prices. KOSPI is down over 5% and the Nikkei and S&P/ASX 200 are weaker, while mainland Chinese indices and the Hang Seng are firmer on tech gains.