Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
Canada: Trade shock and GDP drag – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both analyzes the impact of new Section 338 US tariffs and Canada’s retaliation on the Canadian economy. The report estimates the combined measures will trim about 0.3 percentage points from GDP by 2027, with growth effects concentrated in late 2026.
Japanese Yen reverses earlier gains as US Dollar firms after PCE data
The Japanese Yen (JPY) gives up its earlier gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as traders react to the latest United States (US) inflation data. At the time of writing, USD/JPY trades around 159.41, recovering from an intraday low of 158.88.
US Dollar: Pressure builds as risk premia rise – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele notes that sentiment towards the Dollar is weakening as fiscal concerns and rising risk premia outweigh the support from higher US Treasury yields.
Neither a confirmed hike nor a guaranteed pause: Why the Australian Dollar is climbing toward 0.7200
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is outperforming across global FX markets following higher-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, which sharply lifted expectations for additional Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest-rate hikes.Â
Germany: GDP Recovery strengthens outlook – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank expects Germany’s stronger-than-expected H1 2026 GDP performance to lift annual growth closer to 1% from the previous 0.5% forecast. Near-term transport headwinds should remain contained as Rhine water levels recover, although Q3 growth could temporarily stall.
British Pound weakens against US Dollar as headline PCE beats forecasts
GBP/USD falls to a five-day low on Wednesday as traders react to the latest United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.3603, down roughly 0.33% on the day.
Aluminium: Midwest premium to stay elevated – ING
ING Commodities Strategist Ewa Manthey analyses US aluminium policy and market structure, highlighting that Washington’s amended Section 232 tariffs aim to incentivize domestic smelting but will not quickly resolve the supply shortfall.
Breaking: Fed Chair Warsh says predominant focus right now should be on prices
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said that they must be confident that underlying inflation is moving toward the objective, adding that they have work to do otherwise, while delivering opening remarks at the Kansas City Fed's 2026 Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Oil: Tight balance persists as Iran deal talk grows – TD Securities
TD Securities’ commodity strategists Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that heavy deal-related headlines around Iran and Oman are influencing energy markets, but they argue Crude Oil fundamentals remain tight.
Gold slips as sticky US PCE inflation fails to boost Fed rate-hike expectations
Gold (XAU/USD) trades around $4,620 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.83% on the day.
Euro comes under pressure against US Dollar after mixed US PCE data
EUR/USD trades under modest pressure on Wednesday after the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report delivered a mixed inflation picture.
Canadian Dollar: Trade dispute risks weigh on Canada – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that Washington is considering further trade penalties against Canada after Ottawa’s dollar-for-dollar retaliation to new U.S. tariffs. Canada plans to double counter-tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum and add new duties on a range of goods.
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ) above forecasts (3.4%) in 2Q: Actual (3.7%)
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ) above forecasts (3.4%) in 2Q: Actual (3.7%)