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United Kingdom: Energy shock keeps risks elevated – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman notes UK headline CPI fell to 2.6% in June, below the MPC’s forecast, with broad-based downside surprises and easing domestic pressures.
Economists Agree: Bank of England to stay on hold amid easing inflation outlook
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to keep its interest rate unchanged at 3.75% at its July 30 monetary policy meeting, according to a Reuters poll of 70 economists. None of the respondents expects a change in interest rates at next week's meeting.
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) came in at -1.4% below forecasts (-0.4%) in June
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) came in at -1.4% below forecasts (-0.4%) in June
CEE FX: Higher rates to stabilise regional currencies – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports that surging Oil and gas prices triggered a sharp hawkish repricing of policy paths in Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary, taking implied tightening back to stressed March–April peaks.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD recovers as the US Dollar eases
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $58.55 at the time of writing on Friday, up 2.24% on the day, benefiting from a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD) following its recent rally.
ECB officials confirm: Eurozone inflation to stay above target for a longer period
The Euro (EUR) trades slightly lower to 1.1370 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The major currency pair edges down as the US Dollar strengthens marginally after a strong upside move the previous day.
British Pound: Improved UK growth-inflation mix backs Sterling – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that GBP/USD is consolidating near 1.3300 as United Kingdom (UK) data signal a more favourable growth-inflation mix.
Mexico Jobless Rate s.a increased to 2.8% in June from previous 2.7%
Mexico Jobless Rate s.a increased to 2.8% in June from previous 2.7%
Mexico Jobless Rate above expectations (2.8%) in June: Actual (2.9%)
Mexico Jobless Rate above expectations (2.8%) in June: Actual (2.9%)
Euro: ECB hawkish but EUR still disadvantaged against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe that while the European Central Bank (ECB) left rates unchanged in July and is expected to deliver at least one more 25 bp hike to 2.50% in September, rising energy prices still tilt terms-of-trade in favor of the US Dollar (USD) over the Euro (EUR).
Federal Reserve: Holding rates while watching inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner expects the Federal Reserve to leave the policy rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the upcoming meeting, while debating potential hikes if inflation fails to ease.
Gold steadies after sharp drop as traders weigh Fed, Middle East risks
Gold (XAU/USD) steadies on Friday after falling nearly 2% the previous day, as surging Oil prices fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may need to raise interest rates amid a worsening inflation outlook.
Indian Rupee: Oil surge offsets inflow support – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists highlight that the Indian Rupee (INR) stayed defensive as Brent Oil rose to $100, countering support from recent policy steps to attract capital inflows.