Market News
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British Pound: BoE holds as energy risks rise – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Stefan Koopman expects the Bank of England (BoE) to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% on 30 July and unchanged through 2026, even as markets still price some chance of further tightening.
United States New Home Sales (MoM) came in at 0.628M, above expectations (0.61M) in June
United States New Home Sales (MoM) came in at 0.628M, above expectations (0.61M) in June
United States New Home Sales Change (MoM) rose from previous -7.3%Â to 1.6% in June
United States New Home Sales Change (MoM) rose from previous -7.3%Â to 1.6% in June
Canadian Dollar: Retail sales support modest Q2 consumption – TD Securities
TD Securities reports that Canadian Retail Sales rose 1.0% month-on-month in May, matching consensus but slightly below its forecast. Gains were broad-based, led by gasoline stations, autos, general merchandise and sporting goods.
South African Rand: Weakness resumes after SARB surprise – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts report USD/ZAR has broken above a multi-month descending trend line and reclaimed its 200-day moving average, suggesting renewed upside momentum. The South African Reserve Bank surprised markets by holding rates at 7.0%.
WTI Price Forecast: Bulls retest 100-day SMA as momentum stays bullish
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) eases on Friday as traders lock in profits following a 6% jump the previous day. However, the widening Middle East war limits the downside as supply risks intensify around two major energy-shipping routes, the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb.
Japanese Yen: BoJ repricing may limit JPY losses against US Dollar - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that USD/JPY is consolidating just below a multi-decade high as Japan’s private sector growth strengthens and Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks below Bank of Japan (BoJ) forecasts.
Belgium Leading Indicator below expectations (-10.2) in July: Actual (-11.9)
Belgium Leading Indicator below expectations (-10.2) in July: Actual (-11.9)
European Central Bank: September hike risk rises with oil and PMIs – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts highlight that ECB President Lagarde has opened the door to a September rate hike, with sources suggesting euro area inflation must improve markedly to avoid tightening.
Euro pauses near 12-week high against Yen despite upbeat Eurozone PMI
EUR/JPY consolidates modest losses on Friday as fresh data from Japan and the Eurozone fails to generate a strong market response. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 186.30 after reaching a 12-week high of 186.67 on Thursday.
United Kingdom: Energy shock keeps risks elevated – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman notes UK headline CPI fell to 2.6% in June, below the MPC’s forecast, with broad-based downside surprises and easing domestic pressures.
Economists Agree: Bank of England to stay on hold amid easing inflation outlook
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to keep its interest rate unchanged at 3.75% at its July 30 monetary policy meeting, according to a Reuters poll of 70 economists. None of the respondents expects a change in interest rates at next week's meeting.
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) came in at -1.4% below forecasts (-0.4%) in June
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) came in at -1.4% below forecasts (-0.4%) in June