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Japanese Yen trades cautiously as intervention risk clashes with Fed rate hike bets
USD/JPY trades little changed around 157.25 on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) also holds steady near recent highs, with traders weighing Middle East developments and the risk of Japanese intervention.
Forex Today: The RBA and Fedspeak grab all the attention
The US Dollar (USD) has stated the week with slight gains, resuming its recent uptrend and leaving behind Friday’s hiccup.
US 10-year yield revisits 2007 heights as curve flirts with inversion
US Treasury yields climb on Monday as energy prices remain high, amid US President Donald Trump's rejection of a peace agreement with Tehran.
Crude Oil round-trips between a rejected Iran plan and a sanctions offer
President Donald Trump's rejection of Iran's seven-day plan for the Strait of Hormuz lifted Crude Oil to its best level since Thursday, and the whole rise was gone after a Saudi pipeline restart and a US offer of sanctions relief.
Fed’s Cook: AI, Iran risks could keep inflation pressures high
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Lisa Cook said in a speech in Oakland, California, that the number and magnitude of future adjustments to the Fed funds rate will depend on inflation and labor market data.
US President Trump to ease sanctions on Iran over nuclear progress
Al Jazeera reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump is prepared to ease sanctions on Iran and to unfreeze its assets in exchange for progress on nuclear talks.
USD: Speculative longs steady as Fed hikes – Rabobank
Rabobank’s RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets FX Strategy team notes that USD net long speculative positions were broadly unchanged, with both longs and shorts rising modestly. The Federal Reserve raised its overnight policy rate by 25bp on September 16, matching expectations.
British Pound defies US yields surge as BoE hike bets build
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers modest gains of 0.18% on Monday even as US Treasury yields soar, with the US 10-year T-note rising over 10 basis points, underpinning the Greenback. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3252.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plunges 5% as momentum indicators turn bearish
Silver (XAG/USD) falls around 5% on Monday, slipping to its lowest level since early August.
GBP: Shorts at highs as Pound tracks Oil-led USD rally – Rabobank
Rabobank highlights that GBP net short positions have risen over 40%, reaching their highest level since August. The Bank of England kept the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% on September 18, in line with expectations.
Euro struggles as Fed rate-hike bets overshadow ECB tightening expectations
EUR/USD trades on the back foot on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar (USD) as the US-Iran stalemate keeps Oil prices elevated, pushing US Treasury yields higher and strengthening expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.
AUD: Speculative shorts rise as gains versus Dollar fade – Rabobank
Rabobank points out that AUD net short positions have increased for a second week, reaching their highest level since December 2025.
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to 9.8 in September from previous 11.6
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to 9.8 in September from previous 11.6

