Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) above expectations (0.3%) in June: Actual (0.5%)
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) above expectations (0.3%) in June: Actual (0.5%)
Euro gains against British Pound despite stronger UK growth data
EUR/GBP edges higher on Thursday as the Euro (EUR) draws support from hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) expectations, overshadowing stronger-than-expected UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data that would otherwise have supported the British Pound (GBP).
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stands tall at two-month highs above $4,380
Gold (XAU/USD) posts marginal losses on Thursday, after meeting resistance at the $4,450 area, yet with price action holding just above previous highs around $ 4,380 at the time of writing.
Federal Reserve: Gradual easing path – UOB
Alvin Liew of UOB outlines expectations for the Federal Funds Rate following the July US CPI release. Market pricing for a September hike has fallen, and UOB’s base case is an extended pause through 2026.
European Central Bank: Independence risks rise with debt – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Marco Wagner assesses how political pressure threatens the European Central Bank’s (ECB) independence using a Central Bank Pressure Index based on AI analysis of politicians’ statements.
Silver slips below $65, but cooling US inflation keeps downside in check
Silver (XAG/USD) trades lower around $64.90 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 0.64% on the day. The white metal consolidates after its recent advance as investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of the release of US producer inflation data.
Riksbank: Rate hike risks rise – Nomura
Nomura strategists expects the Riksbank to keep its policy rate at 1.75% in August, with no change through 2026.
British Pound: Solid UK data, limited BoE impact – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes GBP/USD trading directionless near 1.3500 as United Kingdom (UK) Q2 and June Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data show encouraging activity. Growth was driven by investment and consumption, with government spending a drag.
British Pound recovers early losses against US Dollar, US PPI data eyed
The British Pound (GBP) claws back its early losses against the US Dollar (USD) and flattens at around 1.3495 during the European trading session on Thursday.
Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank softens hawkish stance – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Norges Bank analysis notes the policy rate was left unchanged at 4.25% in August, with a less hawkish tone than in June.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Capped below the 50% retracement of July’s plunge, at 159.50Â
The US Dollar (USD) remains practically flat against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, as fading hopes of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in September have undermined speculative demand for the Greenback.
Gold struggles below two-month high despite softer US PPI
Gold (XAU/USD) trades under pressure on Thursday after hitting a fresh two-month high of $4,449 during Asian trading hours. The metal fails to capitalise on softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) data, even as the US Dollar and Treasury yields edge lower.
Economists agree: ECB to hike interest rates by 25 bps to 2.5% in September - Reuters
According to a Reuters poll, the European Central Bank (ECB) will hike its deposit rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.50% in September, said 57 of 69 economists.