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USD/JPY: Offered tone with key 155–158.20 range – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s FX team reports USD/JPY trading between 156.38 and 157.52 overnight, with the pair mildly offered on dovish New York Federal Reserve President John Williams comments and fiscal half‑end repatriation flows.
Pound: Stronger UK growth and reverse-Brexit risk – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG reports the Pound is consolidating near year-to-date lows against the Dollar despite resilient UK growth, with Q1 and Q2 GDP both revised higher and BoE staff upgrading Q3 forecasts.
Germany 10-y Bond Auction rose from previous 3.26%Â to 3.58%
Germany 10-y Bond Auction rose from previous 3.26%Â to 3.58%
US Treasuries: Curve steepens with long yields at cycle highs – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes a mixed US Treasury session, with 10-year and 30-year yields holding or extending post-2000s highs while the 2-year falls.
Mexican Peso: Carry trade unwind risks into Q4 – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux warns that one defining September theme in EM has been a sharp unwind in carry trades, particularly in the Mexican Peso, which is down 6% on spot this month.
EUR/USD: Range view holds as Dollar doubts grow – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank argues EUR/USD is likely to hold within its 1.13–1.20 yearly range rather than break lower, pushing back against consensus Dollar bullishness. The bank cites resilient global growth, peak USD yield support and an energy shock that looks increasingly priced.
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $61.19 per troy ounce, down 0.45% from the $61.47 it cost on Tuesday.
Softer Australia CPI but RBA still hawkish – Rabobank
Rabobank’s day-ahead section highlights Australia’s August CPI as slightly softer, with headline inflation at 0.4% m/m and 4.0% y/y, and trimmed mean at 0.2% m/m and 3.6% y/y. Earlier in Q3, the RBA delivered another rate hike and is seen tightening again in the new year. Weak building approvals contrast with booming data centre activity, shaping Australian Dollar prospects.
South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM) up to -0.4% in August from previous -1%
South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM) up to -0.4% in August from previous -1%
South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY) declined to 5% in August from previous 5.7%
South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY) declined to 5% in August from previous 5.7%
US Dollar: Rally seen stretched into year-end – TD Securities
TD Securities’ TD Macro Research Insight argues the US Dollar rally is stretched against major currencies and is unlikely to break to new highs in current Fed hiking cycle. Month-end equity rebalancing flows, weaker-than-consensus US payrolls, and broadly short G10 FX positioning versus USD support a bearish Dollar regime, with risks from a potential US diesel export ban and geopolitical escalation.
Euro: EUR/USD Bearish risks toward 1.10 – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole reports EUR/USD has broken below its summer lows, trading near 1.1350 as Dollar strength dominates. He sees limited scope for another large break unless the Federal Reserve hikes in October and stays hawkish, in which case EUR/USD could extend losses toward 1.10.
Swiss Franc edges up from yearly lows despite tepid Economic Expectations data
The Swiss Franc (CHF) shows a moderate recovery on Wednesday, as the US Dollar (USD) trims gains amid a slight pullback in US Treasury yields and dovish Fedspeak.