British Pound: Political risk premium builds – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights rising political uncertainty in the UK as calls grow for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation, with betting markets seeing a high chance he leaves office this year.

Fed: AI-driven growth complicates rate path – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Senior Economist Jocelyn Paquet, argues that surging AI-related investment is keeping U.S. GDP growth above potential, with forecasts of 2.4% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.

FED
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk stays elevated – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the US Dollar’s (USD) rebound alongside higher Oil prices has lifted USD/JPY back towards 158.00, close to levels seen before suspected Japanese intervention.

ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 33K

Private-sector hiring in the US has added extra momentum in late April. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 33K jobs per week in the four weeks ending April 25.