USD/CAD: Overshoot risk near 1.38 zone – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is drifting lower as positive US Dollar momentum pulls USD/CAD away from their fair value estimate.

EUR: ECB weighs energy shock risks – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage reports that the Euro faces conflicting forces as ECB President Christine Lagarde warns of potential forceful tightening if energy-driven inflation persists, while growth risks rise.

Denmark: Government formation faces prolonged negotiations – Nordea

Nordea’s Group Chief Economist Helge J. Pedersen notes that the Danish parliamentary election has produced a highly fragmented Folketing, with 12 parties entering parliament and no majority for either the red or blue bloc. The Moderates, led by Lars Løkke Rasmussen, now hold the balance of power.

Germany: Rebound risks grow on Ifo slump – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski warns that Germany’s long-awaited cyclical rebound has been dented after the Ifo index fell sharply in March, with expectations suffering their worst hit since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

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