British Pound: Political risk premium builds – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights rising political uncertainty in the UK as calls grow for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation, with betting markets seeing a high chance he leaves office this year.

Fed: AI-driven growth complicates rate path – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Senior Economist Jocelyn Paquet, argues that surging AI-related investment is keeping U.S. GDP growth above potential, with forecasts of 2.4% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.

FED
Copper: Prices hold near records despite Iran risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes Copper prices are trading close to January’s intraday record despite renewed Iran–US tensions and higher Oil prices. Markets currently anticipate limited economic fallout as long as a Hormuz reopening deal is reached, but prolonged disruption could hurt growth.

British Pound: Political risks weigh on GBP – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports that the Pound (GBP) has weakened as UK political uncertainty intensifies after poor local election results for the government. EUR/GBP has risen and cable has fallen, with Gilts selling off modestly.

Euro drops against Japanese Yen as Bessent’s FX remarks boost JPY

EUR/JPY falls by some 0.18% on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said excess volatility in the FX markets is undesirable. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 184.93 after peaking at around 185.46.