BoC: Cautious hold and oil-linked risks – TD Securities

TD Securities stategists expect the Bank of Canada to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% with a cautious tone, as growth and inflation run below projections. They highlights elevated uncertainty and new inflation risks from the Iran conflict and higher Oil prices.

Oil
Fed: FOMC to keep policy options open on conflict risks – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny expects the FOMC to keep policy options open, with limited changes to the Summary of Economic Projections and no alteration to the median dot profile. MUFG anticipates balanced Fed communication and subdued FX and rates volatility.

FED
Gold: Rangebound as risks offset – ING

ING commodities strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report that Gold is trading in a narrow range as the US‑Israeli conflict with Iran extends. A firmer Dollar and higher real yields offset safe‑haven demand from Middle East tensions.

USD: Fed Dot Plot risks support – ING

ING strategist Francesco Pesole argues that a hawkish revision of the Federal Reserve Dot Plot could support the Dollar, with markets already pricing limited cuts.

FED
GBP/USD: Recovery extends but upside limited – UOB

According to UOB’s Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD rebounded to 1.3364 and may edge higher toward 1.3410, though a clear break above that level is seen as unlikely given only modest momentum. Intraday, gains are expected to stay below 1.3390, with support at 1.3335 and 1.3320.