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US Dollar: FOMC scenarios guide Dollar reaction – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team, including Oscar Munoz and colleagues, expects the FOMC to deliver a 25bps hike, with the dot plot signaling fewer hikes than markets imply.
United Kingdom: Sluggish labour data shapes BoE view – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja assesses latest United Kingdom (UK) labour market data as signalling a still weak backdrop, with employment struggling and vacancies falling.
India: Inflation risks tilt higher – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economist Kunal Kundu notes that India’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose to 4.8% year-on-year in August 2026, staying above the Reserve Bank of India ’s (RBI) 4.0% median target for a third month.
British Pound: Uptrend sustainability questioned versus Euro – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Pound has been resilient against the Dollar and EUR/GBP has fallen about 0.5% since Friday, partly on positioning ahead of the Bank of England meeting.
Canada Wholesale Sales (MoM) registered at 0.3% above expectations (-0.5%) in July
Canada Wholesale Sales (MoM) registered at 0.3% above expectations (-0.5%) in July
United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index registered at 7.6, below expectations (14.75) in September
United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index registered at 7.6, below expectations (14.75) in September
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bearish structure remains intact ahead of BoE and BoJ decisions
GBP/JPY trades on the front foot on Tuesday but remains confined to a narrow range following the Japanese Yen’s (JPY) sharp rally earlier this month.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 16.25K
Private-sector hiring in the US has gained further pace in later August. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 16.25K jobs per week in the four weeks ending August 29.
Canada: Growth resilience and rate risks – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts highlight that Canada’s economy has rebounded, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth improving in Q2 2026 and per-capita gains supported by a lower unemployment rate.
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average increased to 16.25K in August 22 from previous 12K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average increased to 16.25K in August 22 from previous 12K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average rose from previous 12K to 16.3K in August 22
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average rose from previous 12K to 16.3K in August 22
Swiss Franc: 0.8205 caps losses against US Dollar - UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang highlights that USD/CHF extended gains to 0.8195 before consolidating, with intraday trade now expected between 0.8150 and 0.8195. He sees strong but overbought momentum and says a sustained move to 0.8245 requires a clear break and hold above 0.8205.
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) registered at -0.8%, below expectations (-0.2%) in July
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) registered at -0.8%, below expectations (-0.2%) in July

