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New Zealand Business NZ PMI rose from previous 49.9 to 59.7 in June
New Zealand Business NZ PMI rose from previous 49.9 to 59.7 in June
Euro steadies as Middle East strikes offsets Fed repricing
The Euro holds firm against the US Dollar on Wednesday as hostilities in the Middle East continued, with the US attacking Iran for the second straight day at around the Strait of Hormuz. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD trades at 1.1420, after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1391.
The Australian Dollar flatlines while everyone else has a war to trade
AUD/USD trades pinned between 0.6900 and 0.6950 on Wednesday, essentially unchanged and printing the kind of indecision candle that tells traders the week's rebound has run out of sponsorship.
British Pound Sterling wins the day and stays stuck in the same trap
GBP/USD trades just below 1.3400 on Wednesday, up around a quarter of a percent and once again leaning on the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) that has repelled every advance since the pair clawed back from its mid-June washout.
Euro: Political risks but downside bias – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING discusses Euro resilience despite French political developments, including Marine Le Pen’s 2027 bid and expectations of an RN win.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ hawkish path supports currency – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a 25 bps hike to 2.50%, largely priced in, triggering an New Zealand Dollar (NZD) rally before gains were trimmed by Middle East tensions.
US Dollar: Warsh risks skewed to cuts – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that interest rate differentials are again driving the Dollar, with USD reacting strongly to weaker US data as markets reassess new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
Oil: Conflict-driven volatility and positioning – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights growing fragility in global markets as President Trump declares the Iran ceasefire over and U.S. strikes in the Strait of Hormuz reignite Oil volatility.
Swiss Franc holds losses as fresh US-Iran tensions support the US Dollar
The Swiss Franc (CHF) nurses minor losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday but is depreciating nearly 0.7% so far this week.
British Pound slumps against US Dollar as risky assets turn fragile
The British Pound (GBP) is down 0.13% to near 1.3340 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Wednesday. The GBP/USD pair faces selling pressure as renewed geopolitical risks have diminished the appeal of riskier assets.
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP stance weighs on PLN – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep rates at 3.75% through year-end, with easing delayed until policymakers gain confidence on inflation.
Australian Dollar weakens on renewed Iran tensions ahead of Fed Minutes
AUD/USD falls to around 0.6920 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.13% on the day after giving back its earlier gains.
Swedish Krona: Growth strong, currency soft – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes argues that Sweden’s strong growth and low inflation contrast with broader G10 dynamics, yet the Krona remains weak. He notes Sweden’s superior debt sustainability and recent data showing robust Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and minimal inflation.