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Euro: Policy divergence and carry flows – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu says iFlow Carry is beginning to resemble its 2023 upswing. Neutral positioning in carry currencies, including those funded in the dollar, leaves room for exposures to rebuild. G10 FX attracted broad inflows, while EM FX selling was led by HUF, ZAR and KRW.
Silver tumbles as energy-driven inflation fears keep rate outlook elevated
Silver (XAG/USD) falls toward $56.70 at the time of writing on Thursday, down 1.85% on the day. The white metal comes under selling pressure as renewed tensions between the United States (US) and Iran drive energy prices higher, reviving concerns about persistently elevated global inflation.
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 0.1%, below expectations (0.5%) in May
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 0.1%, below expectations (0.5%) in May
British Pound: Shorts on the run – ING
ING’s Chris Turner highlights a powerful short squeeze in Sterling, triggered by reports that Shabana Mahmood could become Andy Burnham’s chancellor, a choice seen as less fiscally expansive.
Gold tests $4,000 as energy-driven inflation fears keep Fed rate hike bets in play
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Thursday as traders look past back-to-back, softer-than-expected US inflation reports and remain focused on renewed Middle East tensions, which are fueling concerns that higher energy prices could reignite inflationary pressure.
Canadian Dollar: BoC on hold and hikes priced out – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports USD/CAD is consolidating losses after benign United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data, with the Bank of Canada (BoC) leaving its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% for a sixth meeting.
Euro turns upside down as US Dollar bounces back
The Euro (EUR) trades marginally lower to near 1.1460 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday after giving back its early gains.
Japanese Yen: Mixed range trade outlook against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY has seen a slight increase in downward momentum, pointing to a lower intraday range around 161.70–162.30.
US Dollar: Retail sales slowdown view – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team expects June US Retail Sales to stagnate at 0.0% month-on-month, versus the consensus 0.2%. They see weakness led by the control group, negative gasoline sales from falling prices, and a drop in food services, partly offset by strong auto sales.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stays below 20-day EMA, sees further downside below $3,940
Gold price (XAU/USD) is down 0.7% to near $4,030 during the European trading session on Thursday. The precious metal faces selling pressures as global inflation concerns remain intact amid elevated energy prices in the wake of widening military aggression between the United States (US) and Iran.
British Pound rallies to multi-month highs on reports of Mahmood appointment
The British Pound (GBP) has staged a broad-based rally across major currency pairs, hitting multi-month highs against both the US Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR).
Brazilian Real: Below 50dma opens move to 5.00 – Societe Generale
Societe Generale highlights that USD/BRL has retreated to 5.07 after threatening 5.20 earlier in July, with the Brazilian Real (BRL) retaining a firm tone following soft United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and lower Treasury yields.
Euro rises vs British Pound amid hawkish ECB comments, mixed UK economic data
EUR/GBP trades around 0.8485 on Thursday, up 0.24% at the time of writing, as investors digest a mixed batch of UK economic data and continued hawkish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers.