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1.25%: Why the Bank of Japan hike is a done deal and the Japanese Yen now hinges on Ueda's guidance
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) stands on the verge of delivering a 25 basis point rate hike to 1.25%, with financial markets pricing in a near 100% probability of such an action.
Bank of England: Cautious hold with upside risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team, led by Pooja Kumra, notes the Bank of England kept Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, with a more hawkish tone versus July as inflation risks stay skewed higher.
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change registered at 44B, below expectations (49B) in September 11
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change registered at 44B, below expectations (49B) in September 11
US Dollar: Fed hike keeps upside risks – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the US Dollar (USD) is holding gains after a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) hike, with 10-year Treasury yields retreating and equities firmer. The FOMC raised rates by 25bps and signaled more work is needed to bring inflation back to target.
Euro gains against US Dollar as post-Fed rally loses momentum
EUR/USD trades modestly higher on Thursday as falling Oil prices pull US Treasury yields away from their recent highs, prompting the US Dollar (USD) to trim part of its post-Fed gains.
Federal Reserve: Two more hikes seen as inflation stays too high – UOB
UOB’s economics team, led by Suan Teck Kin and Alvin Liew, interprets the September FOMC as the start of a short hiking extension rather than a one-off move.
British Pound: Bearish against Euro after BoE hold – TD Securities
FX strategist Howard Du at TD Securities reiterates a bullish EUR/GBP stance after the Bank of England’s (BoE) cautious hold.
Canadian Dollar remains under pressure as USD/CAD flirts with 1.4000
USD/CAD trades around 1.3980 on Thursday at the time of writing, little changed on the day and hovering near the psychological 1.4000 level. The US Dollar (USD) remains supported by better-than-expected employment data, while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) continues to face pressure from weak Oil prices.
Japanese Yen: BoJ tightening expectations lift JPY against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight USD/JPY trading near 155.65 with the Japanese Yen (JPY) outperforming G10 peers as markets price in a Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike alongside elevated domestic risk around CPI and policy decisions.
United States Pending Home Sales (YoY) fell from previous -2.2% to -4.7% in August
United States Pending Home Sales (YoY) fell from previous -2.2% to -4.7% in August
United States Pending Home Sales (MoM) came in at 0.3% below forecasts (2%) in August
United States Pending Home Sales (MoM) came in at 0.3% below forecasts (2%) in August
Bank of England: November hike risk rises – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Stefan Koopman notes that the Bank of England kept Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, but sees rising inflation risks from higher energy prices and the Middle East conflict.
Euro: Downside levels in focus against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang highlights building downside momentum in EUR/USD as the 21‑day EMA approaches a bearish cross below the 55‑day EMA. The pair has broken below the Ichimoku cloud and key moving averages, with support at 1.1400 and subsequent levels at 1.1353 and 1.1324.