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Norwegian Krone: Dovish risks but bullish view against Euro – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING sees some downside risks for the Norwegian Krone from Norges Bank’s meeting, as benign CPI‑ATE prints could tilt communication slightly less hawkish. He still expects rates to stay at 4.25% today and another hike later this year, but is less convinced about multiple moves.
Japanese Yen holds ground due to potential intervention from Japanese authorities
USD/JPY inches lower after registering minor losses in the previous day, trading around 159.40 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency pair hovers near the crucial 160.00 level, keeping traders on high alert for possible intervention from Japanese authorities.
Russian Ruble: Trade boost from Oil seen fading – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports Russia’s June merchandise trade surplus rose to USD 12.5bn, up over 50% year-on-year, as higher Oil prices and improved Urals pricing supported exports.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY bulls await trading range breakout above 100.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen building on the previous day's sold bounce from the post-CPI swing low and prolonging its weekly uptrend for the fourth straight day.
WTI Price Forecast: Prolonged energy supply concerns remain key tailwind
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trades 0.5% higher at around $82.10 during the European trading session on Thursday. The oil price reflects strength as fears of a prolonged energy supply disruption continue to act as a key tailwind for oil prices.
US Dollar: Fed-driven hedge rebuilding revives selling pressure – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that the July Fed meeting marked a peak in Dollar dehedging rather than an end to U.S. exceptionalism. Cross-border investors are rebuilding USD hedges, reducing effective unhedged U.S. exposure while maintaining broadly solid underlying demand for U.S. assets.
Forex Today: US Dollar stabilizes ahead of next batch of US data
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 13:
British Pound: Upside capped near 1.3555 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note GBP/USD briefly traded above 1.3535 to 1.3540 before slipping back to close at 1.3496. Intraday, the pair is seen range-trading between 1.3475 and 1.3525.
Indonesian Rupiah remains subdued as safe-haven demand lifts US Dollar
USD/IDR gains ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 17,920 during the early European hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) recovers its daily losses amid escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.
Gold: Upside capped by Fed hike risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Bart Melek notes Gold extended gains after the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) matched expectations, reinforcing a dovish narrative around Fed Chair Warsh.
Canadian Dollar extends pullback from two-month high as oil-driven Fed hike bets lift USD
The USD/CAD pair builds on the previous day's bounce from the 1.3900 neighborhood, or a two-month low, and gains follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday.
Turkey Current Account Balance came in at $-4.194B, above forecasts ($-5B) in June
Turkey Current Account Balance came in at $-4.194B, above forecasts ($-5B) in June
Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) came in at 0%, above expectations (-0.1%) in July
Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) came in at 0%, above expectations (-0.1%) in July